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Dallas Fed President Calls for Moderate Rate Hikes to Prevent Future Aggressive Tightening, as CPI Remains 3.5% Above 2% Target

2026-07-16 22:43:24

CME0.44%

Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan called for moderate interest rate increases on July 16, arguing that recent monthly inflation improvements are insufficient evidence that price pressures have returned to sustainable levels. Logan, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee this year, said measured rate hikes would better balance the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. She pointed to June's consumer price index declining 0.4% month-over-month, the largest drop since April 2020, while the producer price index fell 0.3% monthly. However, she emphasized that one month of improvement does not solve the inflation problem. Annual CPI remains at 3.5% and annual PPI at 5.5%, both significantly above the Fed's 2% target. Logan warned that if inflation fails to sustainably return to 2% on its own, more aggressive rate hikes may be necessary in the future, potentially causing greater labor market damage. CME FedWatch data shows markets currently expect one 25-basis-point rate hike later this year, likely in September or October, with only a 12.3% probability of a hike at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting.

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