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10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Expected to Continue Rising on Geopolitical Tensions and Fed Hawkish Signals

GateNews
Forex
According to Dongfang Jincheng's research report released on July 15, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to exhibit an upward trend amid renewed geopolitical risks. The analysis cited escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the weekend and Iran's Monday announcement of closing the Strait of Hormuz as key drivers, which are expected to reignite international oil price gains and boost market inflation and rate hike expectations. Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Walz's scheduled testimony at Congress this week is anticipated to carry a hawkish tone, further signaling commitment to inflation control and raising real interest rates. The combination of geopolitical shocks and central bank hawkish guidance suggests the 10-year Treasury yield's midpoint will likely continue to rise.
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