Geopolitical domain 80% win rate address 836,000 USD bet US military will not enter Iran before April
March 16 News: Prediction market Polymarket shows that bets on "US military will not enter Iran before April" have surged significantly, with someone investing $83,600 successfully raising the probability to 73%. Trump plans to establish an international coalition to ensure the security of the Strait of Hormuz, however Gulf states have denied providing military operation support. Despite Iran's attacks on Israel and US military bases, the US response remains focused on maintaining freedom of navigation in the strait and other aspects.