Mysterious Account Precisely Bets on Iran Strikes, Trump Camp Faces "Insider Trading" Allegations

PANews March 2 News, according to Jin10 reports, last weekend, due to the closure of traditional financial markets worldwide, a large amount of capital flowed into prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, as well as decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid. Investors attempted to hedge risks or speculate on the subsequent impacts of the US and Israel’s attacks on Iran through these platforms. However, this capital frenzy quickly turned into a storm of public opinion. On Saturday, a large number of doubts and accusations emerged on social platform X, alleging that some insiders exploited their advance knowledge of military strikes to profit heavily in prediction markets.

In response to the criticism, a White House spokesperson defended to the media, saying, “The only special interest guiding the decision-making of the Trump administration is the greatest interest of the American people.” In fact, efforts to crack down on insider betting using international conflicts have already begun in some regions worldwide. Facing these accusations, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour defended that all fees generated from user participation in the controversial markets would be refunded, and positions established before Qasem Soleimani’s death would be forcibly settled at the final trading price. However, this “forced liquidation” decision did not quell the controversy; instead, many users complained on social platforms that they had been played by the platform.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

A historically loss-making address with losses exceeding $9.9 million is betting on multiple NBA events, with current positions showing significant unrealized gains.

On March 19th, monitoring data showed that a certain address held multiple positions in the NBA prediction market, including approximately $122,200 in unrealized gains on "Trail Blazers vs Pacers" total points Over 231.5. However, the overall historical profit and loss stands at -$9.927 million, still in a loss-making state.

GateNews10m ago

Polymarket Data: The probability that Powell's speech mentions "Inflation" more than 40 times is 80%

Gate News reports that on March 18, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the probability of Federal Reserve Chair Powell mentioning "Inflation" more than 40 times during the March press conference (at 2:30 AM) is currently at 80%. Additionally, the probability of mentioning "Gold/Oil" is 93%; the probability of mentioning "Iran" is 62%.

GateNews6h ago

BETS OFF Act Introduced by US Democrats Would Prohibit War Betting Markets

The proposed legislation aims to regulate prediction markets by prohibiting trading on non-economic government actions and sensitive events. It addresses ethical concerns and seeks to clarify regulatory boundaries amid rising scrutiny and ongoing controversies.

CryptoBreaking6h ago

Argentina Blocks Polymarket as Crackdown on Prediction Markets Expands

Argentina has banned the betting platform Polymarket due to its unlicensed gambling activities and concerns about minors' access. This move follows similar actions in Colombia and reflects a broader trend of regulatory enforcement in Latin America and beyond.

CryptoBreaking8h ago

Polymarket launches prediction market on "Will Neymar participate in the 2026 World Cup," with a probability of "Yes" at 37%

On March 18, Polymarket launched a new market on whether Neymar will participate in the 2026 World Cup, with the current probability of "yes" at 37%. Neymar's poor performance due to injuries and his exclusion from the friendly match roster on March 16 have raised concerns about his physical condition. Ancelotti stated that if Neymar is 100% healthy, he can be selected for the World Cup.

GateNews8h ago

Polymarket opens the "War Room Bar" in Washington D.C. on Friday, with screens broadcasting streams of Bloomberg, flight information, and betting odds.

Prediction market platform Polymarket will open a themed bar called "The Situation Room" in Washington, D.C. this Friday, focusing on real-time information monitoring rather than traditional sports events. The bar will be equipped with Bloomberg terminals, flight radar, and other devices to attract information enthusiasts. The address has not yet been disclosed, sparking considerable discussion.

動區BlockTempo8h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments