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Polymarket US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Fall to 36% in 24 Hours, Down 15%

Prediction Market

2026-07-29 01:31:00

POLYMARKET-10.70%

According to PPP prediction market monitoring, odds on Polymarket for a US-Iran ceasefire by July 24 fell to 36% over the past 24 hours, down 15%. The event will settle as "Yes" if the United States refrains from conducting defined military actions against Iran for 14 consecutive days before the deadline; otherwise it settles "No". Qualifying military actions are limited to direct US-launched airstrikes or ground-to-ground missile strikes targeting Iranian territory.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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