According to swap contracts linked to Federal Reserve policy decisions, bond traders are increasingly betting that the central bank’s next move will be a rate hike rather than a cut. Market expectations show a greater than 50% probability of a Fed rate hike before April 2027, according to data cited by Bloomberg. LPL Financial Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum noted that while a rate cut remains possible this year, the probability may diminish as geopolitical tensions persist.
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