Mayooo

美国期货大幅上涨，对$BTC来说略微偏多，但我仍持空头观点。
我已经彻底对$STRC失去信任。这轮熊市除非它崩盘，否则不会结束。
也许不会发生在明天、下周或下个月。
但非常、非常可能在2027年开始之前。
我会为此做好准备。

$BTC 正在经历一次“不错的”反弹回升，但底部尚未出现。
我仍然在做空并持有这一仓位，直到我们看到50,000美元。
在我看来，这是一个开新空单的机会。

$BTC is selling off while $ETH and other alts are holding steady.
$STRC is also approaching $84.
Not good.
Are you selling, bro? @saylor

$OIL 回到70美元，这是自战争开始以来我们见过的最低水平。
对风险资产来说是看涨的。

USDT dominance is at its highest level since Q4 2022, which marked the $BTC bear market bottom.
We are now very close to the bottom.

In the 2022 bear market, we also saw a sharp move in early June that marked a new lower low for $BTC. After that, price consolidated between ~$19K–$25K for months, until the final capitulation in November (FTX), which ultimately marked the bear market bottom.
It’s possible we see a similar structure play out again.
Right now, we could be in a broad consolidation phase between ~$59K–$75K, before a potential final flush lower and then a base for the next bull cycle.
I don’t expect major directional moves in the coming months, more chop than trend.
In that environment, patience matters:
Look for

只剩 1 周就到七月了。
历史上，每当六月收盘为红色，七月的 $BTC 都呈现绿色。
历史会重演吗？

$BTC 仍然保持在62,000美元以上，4小时蜡烛看起来我们可能会再次向上推升。
让我们看看今天会发生什么。

我对 $BTC 的计划：
密切关注 $60,000 水平。
如果我看到强势并触发多头，我会做多。
如果 $60,000 破位，我预期继续下行至 $53,000，并会寻找空头信号。
目前没有交易。

$DXY 正在向上突破，达到自2025年5月以来的最高水平。
每当DXY上涨时，对股票和加密货币等风险资产来说都是看跌信号。
$BTC 的底部尚未到来。

麦当劳形态已在 $SOL 上形成。
通常，这意味着会有进一步的下行。
它目前位于局部支撑位，但我不会在这里寻找多头。

The market is walking right back into the August 2024 trap.
Think about it:
- USD/JPY is back screaming at 161.
- Tokyo’s massive ~$73B intervention has completely evaporated.
- The multi-trillion dollar Yen carry trade is completely re-leveraged.
And today, Asian markets are flashing deep red.
In 2024, a sudden Yen spike forced a violent global unwind and a -12% Nikkei crash. The dry tinder is piled up exactly the same way right now.
If USD/JPY drops fast, the forced liquidation engine kicks in.
History doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. Watch the charts closely.

最优秀的交易者不会固守偏见。
他们会根据价格行为所传达的信息进行调整。
双向思考：
- 如果一个水平被突破，做出反应。
- 如果一个水平被跌破，做出反应。
只有当市场给你理由时，才保持看涨或看跌的态度。