SpeakWithHatOn

I've been checking the energy price information in the United States, and a quite serious situation is becoming apparent. Gasoline prices have reached a historic high.
According to data from the American Automobile Association, the national average gasoline price this Monday was $4.12 per gallon. It has surpassed the $4.07 during the Ukraine conflict in 2022. What's even more noticeable is diesel, which has jumped to $5.65. This is over 60 cents higher than the level at the same time in 2022.
The background is that since the end of February, the US and Israel have been taking military action a

Recently, interesting survey results regarding the trends of institutional investors have been released. According to Nomura Securities' "2026 Digital Asset Institutional Investor Survey," a significant number of investors are considering serious entry into cryptocurrencies.
The scope of the survey is substantial, targeting large institutional investors and family offices with assets under management exceeding $60 billion. As a result, about 80% of investors are planning to allocate between 2% and 5% of their assets under management to the cryptocurrency sector. This indicates that their inter

Looking at the geopolitical developments over the past few weeks, the rebound in the U.S. stock market has become quite an interesting development.
The major factor is that the U.S.-Iran war has entered its second half. The likelihood of negotiations at the table has increased, and President Trump has hinted at resuming talks within the next two days. Direct negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have also begun, and it seems that all parties involved in the conflict are starting to look for an exit.
This decrease in geopolitical risk is significantly influencing investor sentiment. The U.S.

Recently, Arthur Hayes released an interesting market analysis, pointing out that the current cryptocurrency market is in a "trading range" state lacking a clear trend. It seems that the fund he manages also hardly built any positions in the first quarter. In other words, the market is losing its sense of direction.
But what Arthur Hayes is focusing on are two major factors that will influence the future market trend. The first is the impact of AI on employment structures. This could have ripple effects across the entire economy, directly affecting inflation and economic growth. The second is

The U.S. stock market was modestly but steadily higher in yesterday's trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.2%, the S&P 500 increased by 0.26%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.36%. In particular, the Nasdaq has been rising for 12 consecutive trading days. Semiconductor-related stocks are standing out within the stock market, with Nvidia jumping 20%, and Dell rising 9%. AMD increased by 8%, and Intel also rose over 5%. The Chinese-related stock markets are also performing well, with the Golden Dragon Index up 1.75%. NIO has gained about 7%, suggesting some individual stock buying activity

Looking at the market this week, surprisingly, Australian-related positions are strong.
EWA, along with Japanese stocks EWJ and XLU, is becoming a top performer, possibly linked to movements in the Australian currency.
The utility sector is also steady, and it seems like defensive stocks are being bought.
On the other hand, Bitcoin spot IBIBT has been underwhelming this week.
Natural gas ETF UNG and financial sector ETF XLF are also performing poorly.
Compared to the inflow of funds around Australian coins, interest in risk assets might be waning.
How things will move from here dep

I heard that X is working on enhancing advertising transparency.
They plan to introduce a new disclosure feature for paid promotions from platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
As the number of X users increases, if they don't properly disclose advertising practices, those accounts could be suspended.
As Nikitabier mentioned, this seems to be a measure to maintain trust on the platform.
Because it's a platform with a large user base, initiatives like this transparency effort are really important.
For users, it means it will be immediately clear which posts are advertisements.
I'm cu

Recently, I was looking at Deribit's data and noticed that institutional investors and Bitcoin ETF holders are building up quite a defensive position. There are reports indicating an increase in movements anticipating a drop below $60,000.
Currently, BTC is around $74,000, but open interest in put options is clearly on the rise. In particular, volume is concentrated around the $60,000 strike. That suggests they are preparing for a potential decline from here. At the same time, there are also call purchases, so it seems like they are hedging while aiming for higher prices.
Treasury companies se

Saylor has moved again. I hear he's been buying an additional $168 million worth of Bitcoin just last week. MicroStrategy's ongoing buying strategy has probably become standard practice, gradually increasing in tranches.
With Bitcoin trading around 74K, if large players continue to buy at this pace, it suggests they see more upside potential. From a market psychology perspective, the actions of such major players are reassuring.
At this rate, how much more will Saylor's holdings grow? It feels like the presence of institutional investors is becoming increasingly stronger.

Over the weekend, Bitcoin dropped from $74,000 to around $68,000. As of Saturday morning, it was about a 3.4% decline. The price had been on an upward trend until midweek, but now selling pressure seems to be intensifying.
The dollar recording its largest weekly increase in a year is weighing heavily on risk assets overall. Tensions in the Middle East are driving up energy costs, reigniting inflation concerns, and there are expectations that the Fed will delay interest rate cuts. This combination creates the worst environment for cryptocurrencies. As long as the strength of the US dollar persi

The news of a ceasefire has caused Bitcoin prices to move again. Coming after Easter on Monday, and at the timing when Iran's 45-day ceasefire negotiations surfaced, it seems short positions were suddenly swept up. Bitcoin's price has regained the $69,000 level, reaching the highest point in the past week.
With traders returning, the liquidation of about $200 million in shorts was significant. Especially, the easing of concerns over ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz seemed to instantly shift the risk-off sentiment. Ethereum rose by 3.7% to $2,130, SOL reached $82, and XRP hit $1.34. T

Bitcoin continues its upward trend, but Wednesday's Fed meeting seems likely to be a major hurdle. Many in the market are expecting a dovish policy announcement, but the market could change significantly depending on what kind of decision is actually made.
Looking at recent Bitcoin movements, uncertainty regarding interest rates has been influencing price fluctuations. If a dovish signal is given, there will likely be increased buying pressure on risk assets, but conversely, if hawkish comments are made, a sharp decline could occur. The overall market sentiment may shift depending on the outco

There is a growing consensus among industry analysts that the Bitcoin market is approaching a bottom. In particular, when compared to gold, this possibility seems to be becoming more apparent.
Recent market analysis has focused on how Bitcoin is moving in relation to the traditional asset of gold. The idea is that by tracking this relationship, one can determine whether a market turning point is near.
Analysts point out that the current price levels are approaching historical resistance levels. The correlation with the gold market is also showing signs of change, which could serve as a bottomi

The issue of interoperability of tokenized securities has emerged as a serious challenge among market infrastructure firms. Several market infrastructure companies have issued warnings, indicating that the lack of interoperability increases costs and raises the risk of fragmented liquidity.
Currently, in the world of digital assets, seamless trading between different platforms is in high demand. However, many tokenized securities projects are progressing in silos, and the need for interoperability solutions like paper bridges has become rapidly recognized.
The concerns of market infrastructure

SpaceX faces an often-overlooked issue ahead of its IPO application: its Bitcoin holdings.
At first glance, this story seems simple. SpaceX manages 8,285 Bitcoins through Coinbase Prime, and its current valuation is about $545 million. As of December, it was $780 million, meaning it dropped by $235 million over three months—despite the fact that not a single Bitcoin has been moved.
But this is the crucial part. SpaceX is aiming to submit a confidential IPO application to the SEC as early as March and plans to list in June. With a market capitalization of more than $1.75 trillion, it expects to

Recently, there have been reports that BlackRock's private credit fund is facing significant issues. This is not just a problem for a single company but is being watched as a development that could ripple through the entire cryptocurrency market.
When private equity and private credit-related funds encounter management difficulties, there is a tendency for institutional investors to accelerate capital outflows. Since BlackRock is a global asset management giant, the scope of its influence is quite broad. In particular, it can directly impact institutional investors' attitudes toward investing

Seeing that $1.2 billion is flowing into Bitcoin ETFs, I realized this is quite a bullish signal. It seems that large-volume activity is also increasing on cryptocurrency exchanges.
The fact that institutional investors are buying Bitcoin through ETFs means that there is genuine spot demand. It's important that the number of long-term holders who are holding rather than short-term traders using leverage is increasing. A similar trend can be observed in the spot markets of cryptocurrency exchanges.
If this kind of inflow continues, it will help support the market's lower levels. It's different

Bitcoin has recovered more than 15% from last week's lows and is currently trading near $70k, but on a weekly basis, it still shows a decline of over 10%. What’s noteworthy here is that the movement of the premium index on major U.S.-based exchanges has turned around, beginning to signal an important market indicator.
The premium index, which was at -0.22% during the period of strongest selling pressure, has recovered to -0.05% by Tuesday. Although still in negative territory, this rebound suggests that U.S. investors are starting to buy the dip. However, it is important to note that the premi

It seems that the $40,000 put option for Bitcoin became the second-largest options bet as it approached expiration last month. When observing the market, an increase in such large put orders is a sign that traders are warning of a potential decline. A put, simply put, is a type of options trade that bets on the price going down. In other words, the fact that this $40,000 put is the second-largest indicates that a significant number of traders are positioning themselves with a bearish outlook. Looking at the entire options market, levels where large bets concentrate reflect the psychology of ma