Greenyeth

Age 1.8 Yıl

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Greenyeth

19m ago

The difference between gambling and trading is one word: process.
I lost money for years before I figured this out. I could read a chart but I failed because I had no system underneath that surface level understanding.
Three things changed everything: Structure first. Before any trade, I identify the environment. Trending? Ranging? Compressing? If I can't answer that, I don't take a trade. Most people skip this entirely and wonder why their setups keep failing in different conditions.
Then narrative. What's actually driving this move? Is there a catalyst, a macro shift or a sentiment rotation?

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Greenyeth

1h ago

Bitcoin has topped and bottomed on almost the same schedule for over a decade. The numbers don't care about your feelings and the bottom isn't in.
Peak to bottom:
2013 → 2015: ~410 days
2017 → 2018: ~363 days
2021 → 2022: ~376 days
Average: ~383 days
Drawdown from ATH:
2011: -93%
2015: -85%
2018: -84%
2022: -77%
Accumulation phase before a new trend:
2015: ~15 months of sideways
2018: ~16 months of sideways
2022: similar
Right now? We're about 5 months past the October peak and only 42% down from ATH.
If history rhymes and it has every single cycle... we're not even halfway through

BTC-1,94%

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Greenyeth

2h ago

On-chain opportunities will return. They just won't look like what you're hoping for.
2017: ICOs
2019: DeFi Summer
2021: Altcoin season
2022: ETH NFTs
2023: SOL NFTs
Early 2024: Ordinals
Late 2024: Memecoin supercycle
2025: InfoFi
Every cycle, people sit around waiting for the last meta to come back. It never does. The people who win are already looking at what's next not what worked last cycle.

ETH-3,41%

SOL-3,16%

ORDI-4,14%

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Greenyeth

4h ago

Life is simple, either you increase sacrifice or decrease desire. You can't outwork a goal you're not willing to pay for.

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Greenyeth

12h ago

My Abstract XP has 6x in the past two weeks - what went right when so many people are going wrong?

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Greenyeth

15h ago

Crypto in 2026: sell education, you're a scammer. Give honest updates, you're a FUDDER. Create awareness, you're an idiot. This space doesn't have a scam problem. It has a 'nobody can say anything' problem.

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Greenyeth

22h ago

There is only one Altcoin that has consistently outperformed $BTC since 2024.

BTC-1,94%

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Greenyeth

23h ago

In December 2022 I tweeted about $KAS at $0.005 and it hit $0.18+. In 2023 I covered $RAY at $0.42 on YouTube and it ran to $8+. Bear markets don't feel like opportunity and that's exactly why they are.
What's your bear market bet for 2026? Drop it below, I want to see who's actually paying attention.

KAS7,23%

RAY-2,57%

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Greenyeth

03-17 12:33

In 2025 I brought hundreds of users to Abstract, streamed 100+ hours alongside their builders and team, and showed up daily even when the truth wasn't what people wanted to hear.
In 2026, streams throttled. Gigachad role removed. Good luck to the creators who come next.

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Greenyeth

03-17 09:04

Bitcoin is falling faster than any previous bear cycle and nobody is talking about it. Here's the data.
Every cycle, there's a moment on the monthly stochastic where the fast MA crosses below the slow MA while dropping out of the 80th percentile: the Bull Control Zone. This cross has confirmed the end of every single Bitcoin bull market. No exceptions.
It happened again in October and was a big reason I was stabled up before then. Now if we track the time from that cross to reaching the 44th percentile (where we sit right now) then we get the following:
2014: 579 days
2018: 243 days
2022: 39

BTC-1,94%

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Greenyeth

03-16 23:02

Is This Pump Actually Real?

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Greenyeth

03-16 22:35

Bitcoin strength is unparalleled. The market dumped in price and most altcoin dominance followed. However, BTC dominance has maintained 58% since September.
It really makes you realize -> all roads lead to Bitcoin.

BTC-1,94%

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Greenyeth

03-16 13:32

Someone is bearish on your favourite coin and your first reaction is to call them a scammer. Really think about why that is.
CT has the biggest ego problem in any market. If someone's thesis doesn't match yours, that's not a scam that's just a different opinion. But most people here would rather attack than consider they might be wrong.

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Greenyeth

03-16 12:20

Something most people never actually sit down and calculate if you lose 50% of your portfolio, you don't need 50% to recover. You need 100%.
Lose 75%? You need 300% just to break even. That's why protecting capital matters more than chasing gains.

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Greenyeth

03-16 10:55

Be honest with yourself do you actually have a trading plan or are you just doing the same thing over and over because it worked in the bull market?
There's a massive difference between a strategy and a habit. Most people can't tell which one they have.

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Greenyeth

03-16 09:38

I turned $5K into $75K in 2021 and watched it bleed back to nearly nothing by mid-2022.
Not because I didn't know it was a bear market, but because I couldn't accept the bull was over. Denial is the most expensive emotion in crypto and many of you are paying that price right now.

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Greenyeth

03-16 07:52

You're not bullish again already... are you? Every bear market bounce tricks the same people. 2022 had 6 relief rallies averaging 17 - 46%. Every. Single. One. Failed.

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Greenyeth

03-16 06:02

I didn't know ASTER was a stablecoin

ASTER-4,72%

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Greenyeth

03-15 23:04

Bitcoin Crashed After 7 out of the last 8 Fed Meetings... Here's What Happens Next!

BTC-1,94%

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Greenyeth

03-15 20:18

3 years ago today I was sitting in my car at my full time teaching job wondering if crypto was ever going to work out for me. Now I trade full time and own a house. The bear market is where futures are built.

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