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The Fed's interest rate decision meeting in the early morning maintained the benchmark rate unchanged, keeping the rate corridor at 3.5%-3.75%, which basically aligned with market expectations. The key focus is that the latest dot plot still only reflects one rate cut expectation for the year, while simultaneously raising inflation estimates, indicating that the Fed remains highly vigilant about energy price increases, geopolitical risks, and the stickiness of U.S. inflation.
Powell's remarks were overall neutral with a slight hawkish lean. He did not signal a clear timing window for rate cuts
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After the early morning hours, Ethereum overall experienced a rebound wave, reaching around 2219 on the upside without further extension. It then quickly pulled back, dropping to about 2150 at its lowest before gradually stabilizing and oscillating around 2200. Over the past few hours from early morning until now, the overall rhythm has been quite clear—prices are unable to break higher, and when they fall, they are quickly pulled back. Currently, the market continues to fluctuate within the range, moving back and forth. Although this movement appears to have limited volatility, it actually in
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After midnight, Bitcoin continued its short-term rebound momentum, with the price touching around 71,980 at one point on the upside, but failed to sustain a breakthrough at the high. Subsequently, the market entered a pullback correction, with intraday lows probing down to the 70,450 level before gradually stabilizing. Currently, the overall price has returned to around 71,000 for consolidation. From the early morning to now, after experiencing a rally and pullback, the pace has gradually slowed down. Short-term price action has returned to oscillating within a range, indicating that after the
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The overall intraday trend can be described as a very typical "stable-then-collapse" structure. During the day, Bitcoin basically oscillated around the 74,000 level, with bulls and bears pulling back and forth, but the overall center of gravity did not move down significantly; Ethereum also maintained a consolidation pattern between 2320-2340, appearing calm on the surface, but was actually building momentum. By evening, as external sentiment weakened and short-term longs took profits en masse, the market experienced a surge in volume and decline, with Bitcoin directly breaking key support and
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Based on current market expectations, the Federal Reserve will most likely hold interest rates unchanged at 2 AM, with the federal funds rate expected to remain in the 3.50%—3.75% range. The market has largely already priced in expectations of a "pause in adjustments," so the key factor truly affecting the market is not the interest rate level itself, but rather the Fed's guidance on future policy paths in the post-meeting remarks, particularly shifts in language regarding inflation, employment, and whether further dovish signals will be sent through year-end.
If the meeting releases dovish si
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The current pullback and wick down do not represent a trend reversal. Why do I say this? First, the market is awaiting the results of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision early this morning, and market funds are preemptively reducing risk.
Second, after the continuous rally over the past two days, long leveraged positions have accumulated excessively at higher levels. The current pullback to key support levels below represents a typical liquidity sweep behavior.
Therefore, overall this is not a trend reversal. In the short term, we can first observe Bitcoin's support strength around 73
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You can see that in the white session, Bitcoin and Ethereum have maintained a relatively stable range overall, oscillating repeatedly, with Bitcoin operating around 74,000 and Ethereum consolidating around 2,320. The high and low points of the short-term range are fairly clear, and the strength of intraday bounces and pullbacks is relatively balanced, with no obvious one-sided volume expansion overall. This price action is largely consistent with expectations given during the early morning livestream, where it was mentioned that white session activity would likely be quite choppy, mostly revol
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After entering the day session, Bitcoin rebounded from lows to around 74,600 in the morning, but failed to sustain further upside momentum. Instead, under pressure at higher levels, it gradually entered a correction phase. Accompanied by intraday pullbacks, price retreated back to around 74,000 and resumed consolidation. Overall, afternoon volatility was moderate, with bulls and bears pulling back and forth within the current range, momentum visibly slowing—more of a normal rotation following the earlier rebound. Ethereum similarly pulled back after touching the 2,350 level, subsequently oscil
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The current focus of the crypto market has shifted from pure technical rebounds back to macro news-driven stages. The most anticipated event tomorrow morning is the Federal Reserve System's upcoming interest rate decision. Based on current market expectations, it will likely maintain rates unchanged, with the upper limit expected to remain around 3.75%, as although U.S. inflation is generally controllable, international crude oil prices have risen again due to escalating Middle East tensions, particularly heightened transportation risks in the Strait of Hormuz, making energy prices an importan
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After midnight, Ethereum's overall trend continued at a relatively slow pace, with price action oscillating mainly around 2330, showing minor intraday probes but limited overall volatility. Subsequently, early morning provided a small pullback that touched 2305 below, with the market mostly consolidating within the current range, and short-term direction not fully emerging. From a technical perspective, during the early morning hours neither bulls nor bears showed obvious volume expansion, market sentiment remained relatively stable, primarily involving position rotation after the previous rou
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The intraday trend today is actually quite straightforward to understand. To summarize: "first a rally, then repetitive consolidation." Bitcoin surged to around 76,000 but was quickly pushed back down, subsequently oscillating back and forth mainly between 73,000-74,000; Ethereum also reached a high of 2,385 before pulling back, with the entire day revolving around 2,300 with repeated fluctuations, not displaying a one-sided move. Overall, it's a strong consolidation rather than a trending market. Under such rhythm, a low long strategy is actually the most comfortable approach. On my end, I've
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After providing a low-long trading idea at midday, the market has not shown a significant trend reversal. Bitcoin and Ethereum remain in a consolidation phase following the previous bullish push. Although Bitcoin faced selling pressure and pulled back from the 76,000 level, the decline process has not accelerated. The market has found support multiple times around 74,000 and formed repeated oscillations, with the overall structure still characterized by high-level sideways consolidation. Ethereum, similarly, did not continue a one-sided decline after retreating from 2,380, but instead stabiliz
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Recent cryptocurrency market volatility has intensified under dual drivers of policy and international geopolitical situations. On one hand, the U.S. Federal Reserve system is beginning to open core payment channels to crypto banks, signaling that digital assets are gradually integrating into the traditional financial system; meanwhile, the UK is sending signals of potentially relaxing stablecoin regulation, with the overall policy tone shifting from "strict regulation" to "regulated development." However, at the same time, global regulatory divergence remains pronounced, U.S. legislative prog
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You can see that from the night session to the early morning session, BTC and ETH overall continued the consolidation rhythm at high levels following the oscillating uptrend. BTC launched a rebound from the 73000 level and continued to climb, with multiple ladder-like rallies during the session, reaching a high near 75998 to form a stage high point. Subsequently, it experienced a technical pullback under pressure at high levels, and the current price has consolidated near 74500. ETH's movement similarly maintained synchronization, continuously raising lows during the upward process, exploring
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# Intraday Bitcoin and Ethereum Translation
Intraday bitcoin and ethereum both present an overall oscillating uptrend pattern. The white board trend is moving very steadily, and although there are fluctuations within the board, the overall center of gravity continues to shift upward. Bitcoin gradually increased volume and attacked from low consolidation in the morning, reaching as high as 74,400 in the afternoon, and after a short-term pullback to as low as 73,000 in the evening, it quickly recovered, indicating sufficient support below. Ethereum pushed up from the intraday low to around 2,308
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The afternoon market showed little overall changes. Bitcoin surged to a new phase high of 74444 but then came under pressure and pulled back. After short-term bullish momentum was released, the market entered a consolidation phase, retreating below 74000. However, the price maintained oscillations above 73000 overall, with no obvious signs of weakness in the market structure. The rhythm of resuming upward movement after stepping back and stabilizing—which was emphasized in previous posts—has been largely verified. After surging higher, the market did not experience a deep pullback but instead
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From the weekend through Monday, the market experienced a strong rally. Bitcoin briefly broke through $74,400, while Ethereum's performance was even more impressive, with a 24-hour gain of 6.8%, surging past $2,236. Two key variables drove this rally. On the macro level, Middle East tensions showed signs of easing—commercial oil tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz for the first time on Sunday, and Iran stated the strait is closed only to "hostile parties." This development pushed oil prices down from the $106 high, with the US dollar index weakening in tandem, temporarily relieving the liqu
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Morning market momentum encountered resistance on upside exploration, then bulls continued releasing energy as BTC and ETH maintained the previously anticipated oscillating uptrend rhythm. BTC completed bottom stabilization around 72500 and gradually rallied, followed by concentrated bull momentum release as prices quickly surged through the 73500 level and briefly peaked near 74400, completing a relatively standard short-cycle accelerated advance structure; ETH consolidated around the 2160 level then synchronized strength, continuously raising lows intraday and forming a ladder-like ascent, t
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Starting from early morning, Ethereum's overall price action has exhibited a oscillating upward trend. After consolidating in a narrow range around 2080, the price gradually rose. Subsequently, the market continued its upward momentum, moving slowly along the moving average structure. During the early morning phase, there was a clear surge, with prices consecutively breaking through short-term resistance levels at 2140 and 2160, accelerating the upward movement and quickly testing the 2200 level, reaching an intraday high near 2202 and forming a local peak. After the surge, the upward momentum
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During the midnight session, Bitcoin consolidated around the 71500 level with repeated oscillations in the high range. The market showed no obvious weakness, instead appearing to be consolidating after the rally. As buying pressure increased in the morning, price broke out of the consolidation zone and pushed higher consecutively, reaching a high of 73199. Currently, price is testing resistance near the 73000 level. This morning's rally both validated the midnight positioning strategy and allowed us to capture the first profit zone smoothly at the start of Monday. A good opening often means su
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