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Up to $7B per day in losses are being reported due to the Strait of Hormuz blockade as global supply chains face disruption.
Oil shipments to China are already being affected and Gulf producers are starting to fill storage as exports slow.
Saudi Arabia may have around two weeks before production cuts become necessary if the situation continues.

US oil prices surge above $90 per barrel up 14% on the day reaching the highest level since October 2023.

Teen arrested for stealing $46M in crypto from US authorities.
The FBI arrested John Dagita in Saint Martin with help from French police.
He allegedly used his father’s access credentials to take the funds and was later tracked after showing off his wealth on social media.

BlackRock restricted withdrawals in its $26B private credit fund after investors requested about $1.2B.
The fund paid $620M but stopped further withdrawals after reaching its 5% quarterly redemption limit, known as a redemption gate.
Private credit loans are long term and not easily sold, creating pressure when many investors try to withdraw at once.

A 50 year look at markets tells a clear story.
US inflation rose about 6x.
S&P 500 dividends grew about 21x.
S&P 500 total return climbed about 265x.
The message is simple. Over long periods equities have historically beaten inflation by a wide margin.
Time in the market does most of the work.

US jobless claims came in slightly lower than expected.
Initial claims were 213000 compared to the 215000 forecast. Jobless claims show how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time in a week.
Lower numbers usually point to a stronger labor market since fewer people are losing jobs.

JUST IN 🚨 S&P 500 $SPY drops to its lowest level since Thanksgiving week.

JUST IN 🚨 Stock market drops to its highest fear level of the year.

BREAKING
Over 1T has been wiped out of the US stock market since the open.
Pressure is building across risk assets.

Iranians are buying $BTC and moving it into self custody during the war.
Bitcoin is becoming a safe haven for many.
#Btc

Israel’s stock market hits a new all time high.

Markets Stay Calm as Middle East Tensions Rise
The latest military escalation in the Middle East has triggered dramatic headlines and social media panic. Some are already talking about global war and economic collapse. But when you step back and look at how markets are reacting the picture looks far more controlled than the noise suggests.
Oil prices jumped at first after the strikes but then pulled back from their highs. If traders believed a long term supply shock was coming crude would likely stay near extreme levels or keep pushing higher. Instead the move looks like a short term reaction.

Hyperliquid sets a new record in open interest for TradFi futures.

Markets are reacting to rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.
US indices pulled back after the open while commodities moved higher as shipping companies started rerouting vessels away from the region.
Gold silver and copper are pulling back even as energy prices see strength. Bitcoin dipped near 66500 but is still up around 5 percent over the past week.
Donald Trump said the time for negotiations with Iran has passed which signals possible escalation. Earlier statements suggested the conflict could be resolved within weeks but that tone now looks harder.

Billionaire Peter Thiel plans to sell $280M worth of $PLTR shares.
A major insider move that could weigh on sentiment.

U.S. Dollar is on track for its biggest 2 day gain since September 2022.
Momentum is picking up as traders move toward safety.