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Hope all my shorting friends are doing well. I emphasized repeatedly in previous days that shorting near key resistance levels that were effectively broken through last week essentially amounts to trading against the trend. The current market structure is a typical trend correction phase. If short positions lack strict profit-taking discipline, they are easily depleted repeatedly by the continuously rising support structure lows, ultimately resulting in either passive stop-losses or deep losses.
Since last week, it has been clear that short positions are only suitable for short-term speculatio

Since the weekend, I've been emphasizing one key point: the current stage lacks the cost-performance ratio to continue shorting, and the trend has been gradually shifting toward a rebound structure.
From a technical perspective, the pullback magnitude over consecutive days has clearly narrowed, indicating that bearish momentum is being continuously consumed and selling pressure is diminishing at the margin. Meanwhile, each price dip is being quickly absorbed, reflecting sustained buying interest at lower levels. Market liquidity is tilting toward the bulls, which is a typical signal of trend s

Since the weekend, I've already given you a clear reminder that this rebound trend hasn't ended. The market structure has gradually shifted from pure technical bounce-back to a trend recovery phase. Many people were still blindly looking for a pullback around 66000, but based on the on-chart fund absorption and the structure of constantly rising lows, the bears' advantage has actually been weakening for a while now.
The current price has successfully held firmly above the 73600 level. This position isn't just a breakthrough of short-term resistance, but rather a position that confirms stage tr

From the overall market structure over the weekend, although the rebound strength is not extreme, the structure still shows very strong performance. The 70200 level was tested only once before quickly stabilizing, and subsequently lower points kept rising, forming a typical step-by-step upward structure. This indicates that market absorption capital remains sufficient, with clear signs of bullish control.
I already repeatedly emphasized yesterday that at the current stage, I do not recommend blindly shorting. Even if participating in short-term shorts, one must primarily use short-term thinkin

Sol's multi-position layout range is 87.2-85.3. It seems there shouldn't be much problem eating up near 99. After breaking the previous low of 85, losses occurred.
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$SOL

Looking at the current daily structure, the market is gradually forming a relatively clear rebound pattern. I have repeatedly emphasized that Bitcoin's performance at this stage is significantly stronger than traditional risk assets, and its capital absorption capacity is also notably superior. Last week's market performance has already provided similar signals, with macro-level headwinds failing to truly break through the structure.
The weekend market released news about the possibility of continued conflict, which is essentially pre-digesting bearish sentiment. Once this expectation was full

Some opportunities don't require much explanation.
Those who understand will naturally come,
Those who don't understand won't benefit from explanations anyway.
Limited seats
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$BTC
$ETH

Based on pre-conflict data, the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq once reached as high as 0.75, making it almost a "high Beta mirror asset" of US tech stocks—whenever the Nasdaq rose or fell, BTC typically amplified the move in sync.
However, the market structure changes in this post-conflict cycle are remarkably evident, with correlation rapidly declining and even experiencing phases of decoupling.
This can be seen from the performance of macro variables:
Oil prices surged 33%, and according to traditional risk asset logic, BTC theoretically should have experienced around a 20% pullback,

The market is like a battlefield, and decisive decision-making often determines the height of returns. Last night, based on chart structure and capital flow, I laid out short positions in advance. ETH successfully pulled back as expected, capturing approximately 40 points of movement, and today's midday strategy was successfully executed.
The core of trading has never been blindly chasing rallies and selling dips. Rather, it's about improving the win rate and risk-reward ratio of each trade through structural analysis, capital flow assessment, and precise positioning at key levels.
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US Unemployment Rate Expected to Rise Further:
In February, 11% of American small businesses cited "poor sales" as the most important problem they face, a proportion close to the highest level since 2020.
This is the fourth most mentioned problem, behind only taxes, labor quality, and inflation.
Over the past three years, this proportion has tripled and currently reaches levels seen during previous economic recessions.
Historically, this has been a leading indicator of rising unemployment, as small businesses are the largest employers in the economy.
This means unemployment could spike from it

From the current market structure perspective, Bitcoin's short-term trend is significantly stronger than peripheral risk assets. Although U.S. stocks experienced a notable pullback yesterday, the crypto market did not show synchronized panic selling, indicating that core funds in the market have not experienced obvious withdrawal at this stage, but rather maintain a relatively stable state.
On the macro level, the Middle East situation remains tense, and the conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran will likely be difficult to resolve quickly in the short term. Based on historical experience

The US latest CPI data will be released tonight at 20:30. In the current macro environment, market sentiment is already cautious, and recent tensions in the Middle East, ongoing escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict, and upward pressure on energy prices could all support inflation data.
Therefore, from a macro perspective, the probability of a significant decline in this CPI data is not high, and the data is likely to remain in a relatively strong range. If inflation performs better than expected, it will further reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high intere

Many people have been asking recently: why is $BTC rising while the US stock market is falling and oil prices are fluctuating?
In the past couple of days, a very important piece of news has emerged—the G7 is discussing whether to release strategic oil reserves to suppress oil prices. After the news broke, market inflation expectations began to decline, and once inflation pressures ease, funds naturally flow back into risk assets. This is also why BTC has started to rebound slightly after the news was announced.
Let's take a look at oil prices themselves.
Although there are voices in the marke

From the 4-hour structural perspective, after a rally and pullback around 74,000, BTC has entered a clear correction and recovery phase. The price continues to oscillate downward along the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, repeatedly testing the support zone around 66,000. Combined with the Bollinger Bands structure in the chart, the current price has touched the lower Bollinger Band multiple times and was quickly pulled back by capital, indicating strong support below. There are obvious signs of liquidity absorption and main force accumulation in the 66,000–64,000 range.
From the volume and capit

From the 4-hour structure perspective, this round of BTC's rally belongs to a typical trend acceleration phase. After the price confirmed a bottom around 63,000, capital began to flow back steadily, and the candlestick structure showed consecutive increasing volume bullish candles, directly breaking through the previous high.
Currently, the market has already touched the short-term resistance level around 74,000. A short-term consolidation at a high level is a normal phenomenon.
It is important to note that tonight in the late hours, there will be the Federal Reserve Beige Book, and tomorrow t

A true trader doesn't rely on a single market surge to turn things around, but survives with a solid system.
The idea presented before the US stock market opened successfully captured over 3000 points of space in BTC. Fully executing the strategy also yielded a 1500-point gain!
Real strength is tested by the market, not by bragging.
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Morning market outlook: confidently aiming for a 1400-point increase in Bitcoin. Hua Tuo helps you recover your losses—are you keeping up?
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