TraderInvestmentNotes

2026.3.18 Daytime Market Analysis
The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged is very high. The speech currently appears to be bullish for profit-taking on positive news. Bitcoin will likely show strong performance today, and if closing with a bearish candle, we wait for news.
Current Day: The 4-hour chart continues to oscillate and gradually move upward. Today, we expect bullish momentum to spike with divergence. Bitcoin may show relatively weak performance on smaller timeframes today. With news catalysts, there could be sudden sharp rallies. Once breaking away from the 4-hour suppo

2026.3.17 Daytime Market Analysis
Monday through Friday US session belongs to strong uptrend with bottom consolidation. Bitcoin and Ethereum have ETF support. Interest rates this period will likely remain flat. Target: 3-day golden line.
Today: Low probability of pullback, consolidation ending with small-level divergence upside, upside continuation at close, bears should not rush, no negative news【If EU session doesn't drop this afternoon, look for signals to buy】
Resistance Levels: 77500, 80000, 2500, 2750
Support Levels: 73500, 72500, 2300, 2200
Bitcoin Today: Start watching at 74600 (30-min

2026.3.16 Daytime Market Analysis
The short-term rebound long positions haven't finished yet, significant bearish pressure is not urgent. CPI performance is stable with low probability of rate cuts, most likely holding steady. The old commentator's remarks will likely be bullish.
Today: Today will likely see a pullback or consolidation before continuing the push. On pullbacks, go long for short-term highs then exit on divergence... accelerating breakout of 74000, need news catalysts to hold above 2200 previous highs. Bearish pressure weakening, bullish strength increasing.
Resistance Levels: 2

2026.3.13 Daytime Market Analysis
Daily chart consolidation breakout, bullish sentiment still present. Short-term bearish side not in control, do wave trading. If the 4-hour doesn't break below the golden line, the bulls should continue... no bearish daily close later... bulls first watch the pull line and daily golden line
Today: First pullback a bit into consolidation, don't rush into short positions, after pullback then go long... need to wait a bit for the price to catch on...
Resistance Levels: 2230, 2450, 72800, 74500
Support Levels: 2060, 1980, 70500, 69300
Ethereum Today: Watch 2100, 2

March 12, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
If CPI remains stable, expectations for future rate cuts will increase. Central banks are all rushing to buy gold... Yesterday's data will not have a significant impact on this period's interest rates; keeping rates steady is more likely, with about 80% technical support for orders... The lack of significant market fluctuations indicates a shortage of market funds; currently, there are no major opportunities in spot trading.
During the day: The market moves sideways on the daily chart, with four-hour oscillations. The daytime trend is weak, expecting side

March 11, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Recently, there hasn't been much macroeconomic regulation. If CPI data remains unchanged, it currently appears to be quite bearish... The instability of the conflict keeps the 4-hour chart oscillating.
For the day: First, initiate a range-bound long position. If the price rises sharply during the day, exit immediately【If the data is bearish with a divergence, run; if it's bullish with a spike downward, go long until divergence】.
Resistance levels: 2230, 2150, 71500, 74500
Support levels: 1980, 1920, 69000, 67500
Ethereum for the day: Manually accept ord

March 10, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Tomorrow's CPI: one bullish, one bearish. Based on market sentiment, expect continued four-hour box range trading.
For the day: Focus on rebound and consolidation, mainly trading long and short positions. However, short positions on dips need to be quick; you may choose not to trade.
Resistance levels: 2080, 2150, 71500, 74500
Support levels: 1980, 1900, 67200, 65000
Ethereum for the day: Currently, there is a small-scale upward push. The current price at 2010 is expected to rally to take profit at 2030, with divergence at 2060 to secure profits and prote

March 9, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
This week's CPI news is somewhat bearish, but the price has fallen to support levels. Watch for a rebound to buy more; if the data turns out to be bearish, then consider selling...
Large spot funds are better off maintaining their strength; it's not yet the time for significant bottom-fishing.
Today: Range-bound upward long positions, trading within the box pattern, light positions on rebounds, gradually add positions.
Resistance levels: 2050, 2130, 70200, 71200
Support levels: 1910, 1800, 65000, 63800
Ethereum today: Range-bound rebound long positions, cu

March 6, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Tonight's Non-Farm Payroll report is slightly bearish, continuing a large-scale oscillation... Due to time constraints on Friday, current key support levels are critical, with medium-term daily and golden line resistance as reference. There are no signals for a significant bottoming yet; currently, we are taking long positions on the daily rebound.
During the day: Expect oscillation and rebound to the upside, gradually building long positions【If tonight's data is bearish, take profits and exit, and expect high-level oscillation over the weekend】.
Resistanc

March 5, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
The 4-hour bullish trend is in place; intra-day, look for a pullback to short, find opportunities to go short.
For the day: Not much left intra-day, today can wait for short opportunities, gradually go short. Current price 2110--72500, do not chase shorts, wait and see.
Resistance levels: 74500, 75800, 2250, 2350
Support levels: 71000, 68500, 2030, 1930
Ethereum today: Short at left shoulder prices 2140, 2160, stop loss at 2180. Confirmed divergence short is more certain. Take profit at 2040, 2000. Ethereum 4-hour golden cross near 2000--2020--1990, manu

March 4, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
The bottom is getting higher and higher, with 4-hour oscillations trending upward. Data for this month is crucial. As the conflict escalates, there may be a short-term breakout to the upside. Short-term oscillations favor a bullish opportunity, but the long-term outlook remains bearish. Mid-term, look for rebound long positions...
During the day: 4-hour pullback mainly indicates a bullish oscillation... Short-term oscillations are dominant.
Resistance levels: 2150, 2250, 71000, 72000
Support levels: 1930, 1850, 65800, 63800
Ethereum during the day: Live

The short position has reached the take profit level, but no entry has been triggered. Aggressive entries can consider taking profit and reducing positions. Currently, there are no signals for long positions without any orders. If there are no orders at all, it is temporarily a wait-and-see situation. For reference only!#比特币 #以太坊

March 3, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Short-term conflicts will influence price movements; there is no significant dip-buying condition. The 4-hour chart shows oscillation without breaking out, continuing to trade within a range. The daily chart's short-term lows are not expected to break soon, with higher lows forming. Some positive news may emerge in the short term. Short positions should not be chased at too low prices. With CPI data coming this month, there should be a chance for a rebound.
For the day: Currently, it's not suitable to chase longs. Those without positions can wait... The ma

March 2, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Currently still in a consolidation phase, both long and short positions can be operated... Powell stepping down will bring in a new Federal Reserve Chair, and the crypto market's decline will influence the battle between bulls and bears. On the technical side, there is still room for a major downward break, and the overall trend remains bearish... No need to rush into large-scale bottom fishing just yet. This month features CPI and interest rate announcements, which are crucial for ETFs, and most are strongly correlated with US stocks... [As long as there

Taking a break, no strategy updates for now. See you after the New Year! Wishing everyone a Happy Chinese New Year in advance!

2026.2.6 Daytime Market Analysis
With the U.S. government shutdown, there is no data reference, macroeconomic data is unavailable, and tonight at 8 PM, Jerome Powell will speak. Expect a major oversold rebound, go light on long positions.
For the day: 4-hour oversold rebound, wait for Powell's speech to decide on new orders...
Resistance levels: 68,300, 70,500, 2030, 2180
Support levels: 1820, 1750, 64,000, 60,000
Ethereum today: Take a light rebound long position at 1920, look for small-level orders or longs at 1900, 1880, with a 30-point stop loss, target profits at 2030, 2060, with a second

February 5, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
Weekly trend: Short positions are still ongoing, with no particularly favorable policies. The weekly candle has not closed yet. The large-scale downtrend is still in place, and it's not the time to bottom fish. The main trend remains bearish. During the day: 4-hour consolidation, only observing the consolidation, no clear pattern. The rebound is weak, and the rebound is accompanied by downward drifting, with continuous pinning.
Resistance levels: 2230, 2350, 74200, 75000
Support levels: 2050, 2000, 71000, 70000
Ethereum today: Small-scale rebounds are p

February 4, 2026 Daytime Market Analysis
The weekly trend for short positions is still ongoing. There are no particularly favorable policies. The weekly candle has not closed yet. If it closes with a bullish candle, the rebound trend will look more promising...
That day: 4-hour consolidation, only observing consolidation. Focus on long positions during consolidation. Take profits early on longs. If it gets too late, then stop trading. Shorts need to wait for the US session to push and diverge before entering orders.
Resistance levels: 2420, 2600, 78880, 82500
Support levels: 2210, 2130, 74500,