# FOMC

3 days until the 3.18 FOMC decision, and BTC is undergoing final "stress testing" near $73k . ☕️📉 This meeting is not an ordinary rate decision, but rather the watershed moment for "2026 structural market movements." My database analysis reveals three key scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario A (Neutral Hold): Probability 70%. Powell continues playing tai chi, after the market shakes out short-term leverage, it will surge toward $75,000 riding the "20 million supply cap" narrative.
2️⃣ Scenario B (Hawkish Threat): Probability 20%. If the Fed keeps its eye on $110 oil prices, be careful of a retest toward