# 十二月降息预测

Behind the 87.4% probability of interest rate cuts: the crypto market is experiencing a "expectation exhaustion" crisis.
When the CME "FedWatch" pushed the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December to 87.4%, the market no longer faced the suspense of "whether to cut or not," but rather the harsh test of "what happens after the cut." This figure was refreshed on the morning of December 1, 2025, seemingly rolling out the red carpet for risk assets, but in reality, it may have already overdrawn the benefits to a dangerous edge.
The data itself is real: the probability of the Federal Re

Bitcoin/Ethereum had little volatility over the weekend, so pay attention to reasonable control of the range, first short then long.
Bitcoin/Ethereum once again laid out the strategy of going short first and then long yesterday, with additional positions from 90000 to 90400 and 2960 to 2980 for long entries during the early hours. The highest it reached was only around 91400 and 3017, with overall volatility not being large and the continuation of both long and short positions not strong. In fact, the overall market trend this week has shown a larger range in the first half of the week, while

#交易机器人 I am using the BTCUSDT contract grid Bots on Gate, with a total return rate of +978.10%#成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边 #十二月降息预测 #反弹币种推荐 Bitcoin market overview and strategy for tomorrow | December 1
Market Overview
- The price is fluctuating narrowly around $90,000–$92,000, with short-term momentum neutral; the upper range of $91,500–$93,500 is a dense resistance zone, while the lower range of $89,000/$85,000 is a core support zone. Technical indicators show: RSI around 52, MACD golden cross below the zero axis, momentum gently recovering; Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and volatility is decreasing.

Evening View on November 28 (suggest 3%, 100x, total Position not exceeding 5):
ETH Long Position: Open a long position around 3040 with 1%, 100x leverage, add to the position around 2997 with 2%, 100x leverage, stop loss at 2957, take profit at 3080-3190-3230.
ETH Short: Short near 3193 with a stop loss at 3233 and take profit at 3140-3090
Note:
1. The take-profit prices we provide for our pending orders are all resistance and support levels. Those monitoring the market can place light positions based on the given levels, with a suggested leverage of 1-2%, 100 times, and ensure proper stop-lo

$BTC $ETH $DOGE
📈 Detailed Analysis of the Latest Trends in the Crazy Start of the Bull Market's Final Phase
BTC has returned to $103,000! The friction point at $102,000 has been tested repeatedly, and the intention of the main force to wash positions is obvious. From predicting "the adjustment will be completed in three and a half days" on the 9th to reminding on the 11th at the peak that "the turning point is not yet here," the rhythm of this round of pullbacks and rebounds has been accurately grasped. The bull market is not over; it has just entered the final crazy stage—don't let short-t

#LaunchTokensOnSquareToGrab$1,000 U.S. stock futures opened slightly lower, with the daily chart MACD about to form a death cross. The five-day moving average shows a trend of crossing below the ten-day moving average, indicating a significant strengthening of short positions. The three major index futures continue to trade sideways without any favourable information, and U.S. stocks are expected to continue their inertia price drops. There is some support at the 20-day moving average below, but for the market to reverse, a substantial pump and supportive news are needed. Currently, the trend

Crypto Circle Sister Hong 12.8: Can Bitcoin Stabilize at the Middle Band After the Wick Rebound and Break Through Resistance? Latest Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions!
‍#十二月行情展望 #十二月降息预测 #加密市场回暖 $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin is currently priced around 89,700. After a prolonged period of consolidation yesterday, the market broke down again with a wick nearly reaching 87,500. Sister Hong previously mentioned that prices would test lower again, and this retracement candle formed a rebound right at the lower band. Bitcoin is now at the MA90, moving upward toward the middle band and MA30 r

11.29 BTC & ETH Evening Strategy
The US stock market is closed on weekends, so market liquidity is already poor. In one word: choppy! The market keeps swinging within a range, and the overall strategy remains selling high and buying low.
Last night, BTC surged to 93,000 but got pushed back down, leaving a pretty obvious upper shadow. In the short term, it's unlikely to break through this strong resistance. The market will likely move sideways over the weekend. Today, mainly watch the 91,200–90,000 range.
For ETH: Support below is at 2,970, and resistance above is at 3,060. Today's volatility s

Double Dovish Moves! Fed Halts QT + Dovish Chair to Take Office, Will the Liquidity Feast Ignite a Wild Bull Run?
1️⃣ QT Officially Halted! End of the Tightening Era
On December 1, the Fed officially announced the end of quantitative tightening, stopping the $6.6 trillion balance sheet reduction, shifting policy from tightening back to neutral! The Fed also used repo tools for emergency injections to stabilize the market. The core reasons: preventing a liquidity crisis and easing government debt pressure. This pivot is even more aggressive than expected.
2️⃣ Dovish Heavyweight Poised to Beco

#十二月降息预测
Key Economic Data: The December Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and inflation data (CPI/PCE) will be crucial in determining the Fed's next move. If the data shows that the job market is not as weak as expected or inflation rebounds, the probability of a rate cut could quickly drop, triggering market volatility.
• The Fed's Official Guidance: In addition to any rate cut decisions, the "dot plot" released after the December meeting will reveal officials’ rate forecasts for 2026, influencing market expectations for a long-term easing cycle. Its significance is no less than a single rate