Geopolitics

A study reveals that targeted attacks on underwater cables can significantly threaten Bitcoin's network, as severing key cables could disrupt a large percentage of nodes. However, random cable failures pose little risk. The use of the TOR network enhances Bitcoin's resilience by leveraging robust infrastructure in Europe.

Gate News Report, March 6 — A member of the Iranian expert meeting presidium stated that Khamenei did not leave a special will, did not specify a successor, and did not give any instructions regarding the appointment of a successor.

Gate News Report, March 6 — The Director of the National Economic Council at the White House, Jared Bernstein, made a statement on various economic policy issues. Bernstein stated that prediction markets have their uses. Regarding Iran and oil issues, he pointed out that there will be no discussion of deploying the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in the near future, as the military is developing a plan to ensure ship passage. When discussing tariff refunds, Bernstein said that they are monitoring lawsuits initiated by large corporations, and the private sector will agree on the specific method of refunds.

Charles Hoskinson argues that under the revised CLARITY Act, tokens like XRP would qualify as securities, igniting his feud with the XRP community. He called Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse out again, cautioning that having no laws is better than having a bad law. Cardano founder Charles Hoskin

Goldman Sachs Multi-Asset Fixed Income Investment Director Lindsay Rosner stated that the Federal Reserve should be cautious about delaying interest rate cuts in the face of a weak labor market. Meanwhile, the Middle East conflict influences policy directions, and the complex interplay between inflation and U.S. employment makes the timing of rate cuts uncertain. Goldman Sachs expects to complete two rate cuts to return to a neutral interest rate.

As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalate, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio questions Bitcoin and reaffirms gold as the preferred safe haven. Nevertheless, gold prices fell accordingly, while Bitcoin only experienced a slight correction, indicating that the correlation between the two is weakening. Dalio doubts Bitcoin's transparency and future risks, but he still maintains a small allocation of Bitcoin for diversification.

Gate News Announcement: On March 6, U.S. President Trump posted on social media stating that no agreement will be reached with Iran unless Iran unconditionally surrenders. Trump said that after electing a great and acceptable leader, the United States and its allies will work tirelessly to pull Iran back from the brink of destruction, making it bigger, better, and stronger economically. Trump stated that Iran will have a great future and proposed the slogan "Make Iran Great Again (MIGA)."

According to the latest FATF report, stablecoins have become a primary funding tool for illegal transactions, especially in countries like North Korea and Iran. The report indicates that by 2025, stablecoins will account for 84% of illegal virtual asset trading volume, and calls for increased regulation of stablecoin issuers to prevent money laundering and other criminal activities. The global stablecoin market value has exceeded $300 billion, and regulators need to act quickly to close regulatory gaps.

As the US-Israel coalition's military actions against Iran escalate, Iran's "shadow economy" becomes a focal point. Iran has legalized Bitcoin mining and is utilizing cheap electricity for mining to bypass US dollar sanctions, with the mining scale potentially reaching $7.8 billion and being heavily relied upon by the military. The rial has depreciated by over 96%, and the stablecoin USDT has become a new tool for trade, while the public is turning to Bitcoin to protect their assets.

This month's non-farm employment report is extremely unfavorable to the White House. President Trump needs to address the worsening labor market and inflation concerns, and the stock market performance has been volatile. The previous attitude of dismissing signals of economic weakness is now being challenged.

On March 6th, U.S. stock index futures declined as rising oil prices and escalating Middle East war concerns heightened worries about inflation and economic growth. Analysts noted that the market reaction reflects sensitivity to fluctuations in crude oil prices, with fund managers reducing investment sizes due to geopolitical uncertainties.

Tariff refunds of $168-$182 billion are anticipated following Trump's imposed tariffs, which may rise from 10% to 15%. Concurrently, the crypto market faces volatility, influenced by geopolitical tensions and recent price retracements.

Gate News Report, March 6 — The Washington Post reported that, according to three intelligence officials familiar with the matter, Russia is providing Iran with location information to target U.S. forces in the Middle East. This is the first indication that another major U.S. adversary is involved in the Middle East conflict, even if only indirectly.

Gate News Report, on March 6,, sources familiar with the matter revealed that the Trump administration is currently not considering involving the U.S. Department of the Treasury in oil futures (crude oil and other energy commodities derivatives) trading. It is reported that government officials had previously discussed involving the Treasury in energy futures trading, but ultimately concluded that the Treasury's ability to exert a substantial impact on the market is limited.

Oil prices slightly retreat, providing some relief to global stock markets, but the Middle East conflict shows no signs of easing, with Asian stock markets experiencing their largest weekly decline in six years. The US may intervene in the futures market, and oil prices are still up nearly 20%. The market lacks sufficient information to assess extreme scenarios.

Russia plans to legislate cryptocurrency trading regulation, with the central bank governor proposing to allow qualified banks and brokerage firms to obtain trading licenses, establish compliance systems, monitor fund flows, and control risks. This new regulation aims to be implemented by July 2026 to promote the legalization of digital assets.

Gate News Report, March 6 — According to NBC News, Trump stated that he hopes the Iranian leadership system is completely overthrown and that he wants to ensure that the potential leaders he listed survive in the war.

Chainalysis report shows that in 2025, crypto-related illegal activities linked to sanctions increased significantly, with sanctioned entities receiving $104 billion in cryptocurrency, driving the total illegal on-chain transaction volume for the year to $154 billion. Sanctioned countries such as Russia, Iran, and North Korea are using cryptocurrencies to evade financial sanctions, with stablecoins accounting for as much as 84% of illegal transactions.

PsiQuantum announces the launch of a million-qubit special computing facility, and scientists believe it could crack Bitcoin encryption, although the company's founders state they have no intention of using this technology to attack Bitcoin. Research indicates the potential risk is limited to approximately 10,230 Bitcoins.

The UK Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, raised £5.5 million in Q4 2025, with £3 million coming from crypto investor Christopher Harborne, demonstrating strong financial backing and a leading position in the polls.