Recently, Ripple successfully completed the issuance of 1 billion tokens in September. XRP Unlocking (valued at approximately $287 million). As before, Ripple once again demonstrated its strategy for maintaining market stability: swiftly re-locking 700 million XRP, with the net inflow of XRP to the market accounting for only 0.50% of the total supply.
This expected and controllable release method has resulted in this unlocking not causing a significant impact on the market. The market reacted calmly, reflecting that investors have gradually become accustomed to Ripple’s liquidity management rhythm.
Price Trends: Short-term pressure, key support becomes the focus
As of the latest data on September 1, 2025, the price of XRP on the Gate trading platform hovers around $2.9650, failing to effectively break through the key resistance level of $3.080 in the short term.
From a technical standpoint, XRP has formed a key bearish trend line on the hourly chart, with a resistance level around $3.020. The hourly MACD indicator also shows momentum in the bearish zone, and the RSI indicator is below the 50 neutral line, indicating that the market is currently dominated by bears.
The following is an overview of the key support and resistance levels for XRP:
| Key Support Level (USD) | Key Resistance Level (USD) | Technical significance |
|---|---|---|
| 2.920 | 3.020 | 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, an important support recently; if broken, it may test 2.840 or 2.780. |
| 2.840 | 3.080 | Support level after further decline |
| 2.780 | 3.150 | Important psychological support level |
Investors need to closely monitor the effectiveness of the support level at $2.920 in the near term. If it is successfully defended with increased trading volume, XRP is expected to challenge the resistance levels of $3.000 and even $3.080 again.
Market Dynamics: Coexisting Liquidation and Institutional Interest
CoinGlass data shows that due to XRP’s failure to maintain an upward trend, the liquidation of long positions has been substantial, indicating that over-leveraged long positions have been cleared. Typically, this "cleaning" helps alleviate selling pressure in the market, creating conditions for a healthier rebound in the future.
At the same time, the market has also shown some positive signs. Recently, Amplify Investment Company has submitted an application for an XRP ETF, joining the many that are waiting for SEC approval. This continues to reinforce the market’s expectations for XRP to attract more institutional funds.
Macroscopic perspective: Regulatory and environmental improvements
The positive performance of XRP in 2025 is also due to the improvement of its macro environment:
- Regulatory clarity: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has reclassified XRP as a commodity rather than a security in August 2025. This important regulatory clarification has cleared the way for institutional adoption.
- ETF Expectations: The SEC’s reclassification has directly spurred over 11 applications for XRP ETFs. Among them, the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF (UXRP) was approved in August, marking XRP’s accelerated acceptance into the mainstream financial system.
- Practical value support: Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service processed $1.3 trillion in cross-border transactions in Q2 2025. Its enormous practical use is the foundation for XRP’s long-term value.
Future Outlook: Opportunities and Challenges
Analysts generally believe that XRP is a hybrid asset - possessing both speculative and infrastructure tool attributes.
If XRP price can effectively break through the resistance at $3.35, it may open up upward space towards targets of $6 or even $9 to $10. However, macroeconomic uncertainty and the potential deeper correction that may arise if the price fails to hold the key support level at $2.80 are also potential risks.
The expansion of ecological applications has injected richer practical value and use cases into XRP. Although short-term prices are under pressure, the market structure has not been damaged above the key support level of $2.920.
