# 非农数据超预期加息预期升温

The situation has completely spiraled out of control! U.S. military airstrikes on Iranian territory, oil prices soaring! The Federal Reserve's stagflation crisis severely impacts the crypto market
A major breaking news event on June 10th, the biggest black swan in the entire crypto market has occurred!
In the early hours, the U.S. military officially launched retaliatory strikes, bombing key coastal areas in southern Iran including Qeshm Island, Sirik, and Minab, with Iran’s air defense systems firing back in full force.
The trigger for this round of conflict: Iran shot down a U.S. Army Apache

Today is going to be very lively, with several major events happening together. U.S. CPI data➕TSMC earnings➕SpaceX IPO early cutoff. Crazy Wednesday is coming.
Three things happening on the same day, each alone could shake the market, now all stacked together.
CPI comes out first. Market expectations are that inflation in May might head towards 4%, and energy in the Middle East hasn't calmed down yet. If the data exceeds expectations, the probability of a rate cut in September will be further compressed, with gold and U.S. Treasuries reaching critical levels, and the direction may be determine

The market has been so stable these days, is a big move really coming tonight??#非农数据超预期加息预期升温

Attention! The dog market is about to move!
Fundamentals are all just a smokescreen: Old Trump doesn't want to raise interest rates, the Fed's end-of-year rate hike expectations, Wosh taking office and pretending to be dead in June—this chaotic timeline is the perfect time to harvest.
In the short term, they will use "fake good news" to trigger a wave of short selling, tricking you into buying, then crush it again in June.
Don't forget MicroStrategy's sword: Saylor is playing ambiguous, saying he's buying but actually planning to run. Look at the announcement this week; if he considers hoardin

Crude oil surges, U.S. stock futures plunge! Are global markets entering a high-volatility phase?
Before Monday's opening, the market sentiment was clearly off.
WTI crude oil suddenly jumped 2.8%.
Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures opened lower across the board.
Risk aversion sentiment is beginning to heat up.
The underlying trigger remains the escalation of geopolitical conflicts.
Rising oil prices mean inflationary pressures could re-emerge, which is clearly not a scenario the Federal Reserve wants to see.
On one side are rate cut expectations.
On the other side are rising energy prices.
The mark

95.4% probability of no rate hike! Is the Federal Reserve really planning to stand pat this time?
Latest data shows.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June has reached 95.4%.
The market has almost already bet on it.
This means the liquidity environment will not continue to deteriorate.
For tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, this is undoubtedly good news.
But the question is.
No rate hike does not mean an immediate rate cut.
Powell still needs to observe inflation data.
Therefore, the pace of rate cuts this year may be slower than market expectations.
Fun