# 交易复盘

The return over the past 30 days is **-19.56%**, with a win rate of **74.19%**. This set of data gives me a very direct reminder: trading should not only focus on win rate but also on the risk-reward ratio and drawdown control. Many times, small profits are easy, but the real challenge is whether you can cut losses in time during a loss, preventing a single mistake from ruining the rhythm. Next, I will reduce frequent operations, control position sizes, and wait for more clear opportunities before taking action. The market is never short of opportunities; only by safeguarding the principal can

⚽【Polymarket World Cup】Spain vs Germany: Odds are wildly fluctuating—I’ve spotted a very high-certainty opportunity!
In this group-stage showdown, the Polymarket market has already gone through several waves of sentiment. I’ll share my analysis and how I’m trading it, and I’ll also record my trading performance.
📊 Current odds (Polymarket real-time):
· Spain win: 42%
· Draw: 28%
· Germany win: 30%
🧠 My analysis:
Germany were knocked out in a shock defeat in the first round, and the market is clearly overreacting with panic—pushing Germany’s win probability far too low. This Spain side is

Trade Review | 2026.04.16 ETH Multi-Period Chan Theory Structure Breakdown
1. Quick Overview of Core Market Structure
Current ETH Price 2335.54
4H Major Level: Upward wave initiated from 1936.54 continues, breaking previous high at 2385.78, reaching a new high at 2416.40, currently in a retracement phase after the upward wave, the bullish trend on the major level is fully established
1H Intermediate Level: After completing a top divergence at 2416.40, it enters a correction wave, currently oscillating in the 2330-2340 range, downward momentum gradually releasing
15F Minor Level: From the 2416.