According to CryptoQuant researcher Darkfost's analysis on July 13, Bitcoin's prolonged consolidation phase is creating leverage risks for traders on major exchanges. The report shows that rising Open Interest—measured in BTC to isolate trader positioning from price movements—has historically preceded significant liquidations.
Binance's Bitcoin-denominated Open Interest increased from approximately 104,000 BTC to 130,000 BTC over six weeks in January-February, followed by a 36,000 BTC decline during the subsequent downturn. A similar pattern emerged from June onward, with Open Interest climbing by 53,000 BTC over three months before falling by 35,000 BTC when prices moved lower. Both periods saw positive funding rates pressure traders to exit positions at losses. At the time of analysis, Bitcoin was trading at $62,831, down 1.57% in 24 hours.