Alphabet disclosed last week that it significantly raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to accelerate AI data center construction, triggering market concerns about artificial intelligence investment returns. The stock plummeted 7% the following day, dragging down Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft in tandem. The selloff reflects investor concerns that surging infrastructure spending may deplete cash reserves with unclear returns; Alphabet's free cash flow turned negative for the first time in the second quarter, and long-term debt surged 111% to $98 billion in the first half of 2026.
Microsoft and Meta report earnings Wednesday (July 29), followed by Amazon on Thursday (July 30). Analysts predict Microsoft's full-year capex at approximately $190.1 billion, with Amazon's estimates rising to $207.4 billion. Investors will scrutinize whether these tech giants can convert massive capital outlays into cloud growth, profitability, and cash flow—testing market patience with the artificial intelligence spending race.