Ethereum is trading in the range of $1,890–1,910. After a rally in the past few days, the price is now entering a consolidation phase just below the psychological level of $2,000. The market is still waiting for a new catalyst, such as developments in U.S. digital asset regulation and macro sentiment, to determine the next direction. Technical Analysis Trend: Moderately bullish. Key levels today: * 🟢 Support 1: $1,880 * 🟢 Support 2: $1,840 * 🔴 Resistance 1: $1,930 * 🔴 Resistance 2: $1,980–2,000 As long as ETH holds above $1,880, the short-term trend structure remains positive. A clean breakout above $1,930 could open up an opportunity to test the $2,000 area. However, if it fails to hold above support, a correction toward $1,840 is still possible. Factors Affecting * Ethereum staking activity remains strong, reducing the circulating supply of ETH and acting as a supportive factor in the medium term. * Investors are also watching Ethereum ETF fund flows and U.S. interest rate policy, as both are still major drivers of crypto market sentiment. 24-hour Outlook Estimated probabilities: * 🟢 55%: ETH moves up to $1,930–1,970. * 🟡 30%: ETH consolidates in the range of $1,880–1,930. * 🔴 15%: ETH corrects to $1,840–1,860 if Bitcoin experiences a sharp drop or negative macro sentiment emerges.$ETH

Brothers trading US stocks short-term, my advice is very direct: before the Federal Reserve rate decision is released at 2:00 a.m. on the 30th, try not to open new positions casually, especially in the Nasdaq and high-valuation tech stocks. At this kind of timing, it’s easiest to get thrust up and down; even if you guess the direction correctly, you may still get swept out first. Rather than betting on up or down in advance, it’s better to stay in cash and wait for the market to show its stance. The current interest-rate range is 3.50%—3.75%. Market consensus is still that the rate will remain unchanged, but there’s also a possibility of an unexpected 25-basis-point hike. In a Reuters survey of 104 economists, all of them predict that the Fed will hold rates steady this time. Personally, I also lean toward no hike. But what truly determines the market may not be the result itself—it may be the subsequent statement and the press conference. As long as they continue emphasizing inflation, or hint that a rate hike may still be on the table in September, the market can still first rise and then fall. This time, compared with the crypto market, I think the Nasdaq faces a bigger direct impact. Tech-stock valuations are very sensitive to interest rates and US Treasury yields. On top of that, in these days, they’re also colliding with earnings reports from tech giants—so the market is essentially trading both interest rates and earnings at the same time, leaving very little room for error. Crypto will move too, but the transmission is more indirect: the dollar and US Treasuries move first, then the Nasdaq signals, BTC follows risk appetite, and finally altcoins amplify volatility through leverage and liquidations. So my understanding is: the Nasdaq sets the direction, BTC amplifies the sentiment, and altcoins amplify the drawdown. In this situation, going to cash isn’t missing an opportunity—it’s keeping the initiative in your own hands. After the result comes out, seeing how the dollar, US Treasuries, and the Nasdaq move is often more stable than placing a bet in advance. $BTC $ETH $SOL

The most worth revisiting in this trade isn’t how much I ultimately ended up with, but the fact that I almost got ground down like under a millstone and lost patience. The price hovered around 345.75 for a long time, repeatedly pumped higher then dropped back, as if it were deliberately trying to wear down the shorts’ confidence. I wanted to get out a few times before, but in the end I held on—without changing direction impulsively just because of short-term fluctuations. What really kept me holding was that the rebound never managed to break through the previous key level. There seemed to be support at a glance, but the moment it reached the critical area, sell pressure blocked it. Later, the market hit with a sell-off; the price moved to around 213.77. All those seemingly messy moves suddenly connected into one coherent line, and the short thesis was finally confirmed. This outcome corresponds to +2708.93%. Honestly, after you become profitable, it’s easiest to get carried away. But this trade made me understand again: waiting isn’t passive stubbornly holding—it’s confirming that the judgment I made at the start hasn’t been overturned by the chart. When you’re bearish, it’s not the slow pace that scares you; what you fear is getting washed out by your own emotions before you’ve finished the move. $BTC $ETH