Brothers trading US stocks short-term, my advice is very direct: before the Federal Reserve rate decision is released at 2:00 a.m. on the 30th, try not to open new positions casually, especially in the Nasdaq and high-valuation tech stocks. At this kind of timing, it’s easiest to get thrust up and down; even if you guess the direction correctly, you may still get swept out first. Rather than betting on up or down in advance, it’s better to stay in cash and wait for the market to show its stance. The current interest-rate range is 3.50%—3.75%. Market consensus is still that the rate will remain unchanged, but there’s also a possibility of an unexpected 25-basis-point hike. In a Reuters survey of 104 economists, all of them predict that the Fed will hold rates steady this time. Personally, I also lean toward no hike. But what truly determines the market may not be the result itself—it may be the subsequent statement and the press conference. As long as they continue emphasizing inflation, or hint that a rate hike may still be on the table in September, the market can still first rise and then fall. This time, compared with the crypto market, I think the Nasdaq faces a bigger direct impact. Tech-stock valuations are very sensitive to interest rates and US Treasury yields. On top of that, in these days, they’re also colliding with earnings reports from tech giants—so the market is essentially trading both interest rates and earnings at the same time, leaving very little room for error. Crypto will move too, but the transmission is more indirect: the dollar and US Treasuries move first, then the Nasdaq signals, BTC follows risk appetite, and finally altcoins amplify volatility through leverage and liquidations. So my understanding is: the Nasdaq sets the direction, BTC amplifies the sentiment, and altcoins amplify the drawdown. In this situation, going to cash isn’t missing an opportunity—it’s keeping the initiative in your own hands. After the result comes out, seeing how the dollar, US Treasuries, and the Nasdaq move is often more stable than placing a bet in advance. $BTC $ETH $SOL

When the screen is filled with green candles, it’s most likely that people rush to bottom-fish—and it’s also most likely that someone forgets how to close their short positions. When the price dumped intraday, I first checked how strongly $BILL retraced; I found that the rebound stayed weak all along. After it fell, the support didn’t quickly come back, and the shorts hadn’t exited. Earlier, BILL surged around 0.14088 with relatively low trading volume. The price looked like it was being pushed up, but in reality nobody was willing to keep taking orders. At the time, I advised waiting for the sell pressure to dissipate, and executed the plan to open longs—what I was waiting for was the payout after the price faced pressure at the high. Now the price has reached 0.02402, and the unrealized profit shows +1633.55%; the answer is already laid out on the chart. First, close 80% to lock in results. Set cost protection for the remaining 80%; if it continues to dip, it allows the profit to extend. If it bounces back, it won’t give back the space already secured. Risk control done upfront is called rationality. Cutting losses after you’ve already lost is called a brave severing of the arm. Chasing after a drop is also dangerous—if you didn’t get in, don’t rush to top up. The market doesn’t lack opportunities; what it lacks is patience. $BTC $ETH

Rise 🤯, oh my god! SanDisk’s cut in half, and SK hynix/Micron plunges 9%—and you tell me ETH only fell 1.5%?? The Philadelphia semiconductor index once crashed by more than 6%. Is the AI bubble about to burst? Are the market makers starting to kill valuations? The night before last, my girlfriend asked me why I still wasn’t asleep. I said I was watching the charts. She looked at the screen—“Green?” I said yes, green and glowing. Then she asked, “Did you make money?”... I’m sleeping on the couch now. $ETH ‌ This one is really tough, The broader market $BTC ‌ is down 1.71% to $63,907, and ETH only fell 1.49%. The Bollinger middle band at $1,914 is holding up, and RSI is 58—neither oversold nor overbought. The market makers are walking the balance beam. But Coinglass data shows when ETH breaks below $1,815 it will liquidate more than 906 million orders—brothers on the long side, once this level breaks, it’s a chain reaction explosion. SanDisk $SNDK ‌ $SKHYNIX - Micron $MU ‌ this drop is already a major disaster even by crypto standards; in US stocks it’s basically a nuclear bomb. Wall Street money is rotating from chip stocks into consumer stocks—Apple even hit a market cap of 5 trillion. 💡Short-term play: fix ETH at $1,815. If it breaks, long stop-loss triggers—if it doesn’t, you can bet on a rebound back to the $1,947 prior high. Don’t hold the position—this kind of market can drive a needle straight through you and make you cry. For the long term, for storage chips, wait until the earnings reports come out—SK hynix is releasing earnings today. Is it good news that lands or bad news that’s already out? Nobody knows. Drop a comment: are you long or short? Are you stuck in a losing trade this time? If you liked it, you’ll break even this week; if you repost, it directly doubles! 👇 #GateCard消费返现最高8%