# 伊朗拟征收霍尔木兹加密货币通行费

Many people see Iran's statements and immediately think that oil prices and gold will skyrocket. I'll just give the conclusion: this wave of sentiment is too exaggerated, and crude oil and gold fundamentally do not have the basis for a sustained rally. Chasing long positions is just inviting a knife.
First, look at those two core statements from Iran: no war, no abandonment of rights. Basically, it's more talk than action.
Saying no war clearly means they don't dare to truly fight, don't dare to completely block the Strait of Hormuz. If they really block the strait, the U.S. would intervene di