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Just noticed the AUD has been holding up pretty well this week, trading around 0.7180 against the USD. The pair's been getting some decent support from mixed signals coming out of Australia and China, which is interesting to watch if you're tracking aud to usdt movements.
Australia's job market came in a bit softer than expected—unemployment stayed flat at 4.3% but employment only added 17,900 positions, down from the 49,700 we saw the month before. Meanwhile, China's economic picture was all over the place. Retail sales disappointed at 1.7% year-over-year when everyone was looking for 2.3%, but industrial production surprised to the upside hitting 5.7% versus the 5.5% forecast. Their Q1 GDP growth was 1.3% quarter-on-quarter, slightly beating the prior quarter's 1.2%.
There's one thing keeping the aud to usdt pair from running higher though—geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are still simmering. Reports suggest the US and Iran are working toward a ceasefire extension, but the Strait of Hormuz situation remains tight with shipping routes effectively shut down for weeks now. That kind of uncertainty tends to push safe-haven flows toward the dollar, which naturally caps upside for the Aussie. So we're stuck in this interesting spot where economic fundamentals want to support the AUD, but geopolitics keeps pulling the other way.