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Been looking at some interesting opportunities in the mining sector lately, and I think there's real value being overlooked right now.
So here's what caught my attention: both Freeport-McMoRan and Albemarle are trading at valuations that seem too cheap given where commodity prices are sitting. If you're comfortable with copper and lithium exposure, these mining stocks to buy actually make sense from a risk-reward perspective.
Let me break down Freeport first. The company's pretty transparent about its earnings potential at different copper price points. At current levels around $5.66 per pound, their 2027-2028 EBITDA could hit roughly $17.6 billion. With an enterprise value of $96.9 billion, that puts them at an EV/EBITDA multiple of just 5.5x by 2027. That's historically attractive for a copper producer.
What's interesting is the production ramp they've got coming. Indonesia operations are scaling up after last year's issues, and they're also running a leaching program that's quietly adding volume. Management's only baked in 250-300 million pounds for 2026 guidance, but they're expecting 400 million by 2027 and ramping to 800 million by 2030. That's meaningful upside they haven't fully priced in yet.
Now Albemarle's a different story but similar setup. Lithium prices tanked after the EV boom cooled post-pandemic, and yeah, the company took losses in 2024-2025. But management actually did the hard work cutting costs and divesting non-core assets. They're positioned well if lithium holds up.
Back in January, lithium carbonate was trading around $20 per kg. If that sticks through 2026, Albemarle could generate $2.4-2.6 billion in EBITDA. At their current $23.5 billion enterprise value, you're looking at a 9.4x EV/EBITDA multiple for 2026. That's solid value territory.
The supply situation's actually tightening too. The glut's clearing, EV investment is picking up globally, and battery storage demand is surging. These mining stocks to buy look like they've got more room to run than downside risk, which is the asymmetric bet I'm looking for.
Obviously commodity prices are unpredictable, but using current prices as your baseline, both of these look undervalued. Worth keeping on your radar if you've got conviction on copper and lithium sticking around these levels. Mining stocks with this kind of valuation cushion don't come around that often.