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Updated log-periodic model with confidence level to 1 sigma.
I wouldn’t put too much weight on the exact values of the tops and bottoms, but the timing may be more meaningful. According to the model, the next bottom is around August of this year.
What I find compelling about this approach is that it uses a single power law with a complex exponent, rather than imposing an external cycle. In this framework, the oscillatory behavior emerges naturally from the data itself as part of the power-law structure.
The model fits the data well up to the present. The key question, as always, is whether this behavior will persist going forward.