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Market Analysis:
On March 11, the market played out a classic "divergence and reversion" amid complex signals. Gold rebounded strongly on the resonance of geopolitical safe-haven demand and macroeconomic positives, while the crypto market continued its upward trend driven by stabilized oil prices and ETF fund inflows.
Macro News:
1. Although Trump hinted on the 9th that the war is "basically over," the battlefield is still ongoing. This uncertainty continues to support safe-haven buying in gold. As oil prices fell from peaks above $100, inflation expectations that previously limited the Fed's rate cuts have eased, making investors feel more secure. The appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset has increased.
2. On March 10, the market remained volatile and pressured during the day, with some short positions gradually unwinding. There was a demand for bottom-fishing. Last night, with the escalation of Middle East tensions, a retreat in the dollar, and cooling inflation expectations, three major positives prompted bottom-fishing funds to enter the market. The domestic central bank has increased gold holdings for 16 consecutive months. The global de-dollarization process continues. JPMorgan predicts gold will reach $6,300 by the end of 2026, and Bank of America reaffirmed a $6,000 target price within the next 12 months.
3. Bitcoin ETF recorded approximately $167 million in net inflows on Monday, ending two consecutive days of outflows. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor’s company purchased 17,994 BTC between March 2 and 8 for about $1.28 billion. The return of institutional funds provides solid support for the market.
4. Despite a slight increase in cryptocurrencies, if oil prices rebound and Trump's tariff threats are realized, global risk appetite may decline, leading to a potential pullback in cryptocurrencies.
Trading Suggestions: Please inquire during the live session.
Special Reminder: Buy gold on dips with stop-losses in place; be cautious with cryptocurrencies, monitor positions strictly!