Will there be extreme market movements on Monday?! Oil prices are going crazy, and will the opening on Monday be even crazier? The US stock market has sharply declined, but Bitcoin alone can't support the market? Let's take a look.


1. Trump is now in a difficult position. Previously, he captured Maduro, which quickly led Venezuela to kneel, creating a path dependency. He thought that killing Qasem Soleimani would quickly bring down Iran, but they are determined to resist to the end!
2. So Trump is also getting anxious. What to do if Iran is holding him hostage? Increase the position.
The third aircraft carrier, the USS Ford, is already heading to the battlefield, while Iran continues to attack using low-cost, high-precision drones, with Russia providing satellite positioning support.
3. So this time, the market trend might be similar to last year's tariff situation—sharp decline until Trump can't hold on anymore, then he will forcibly declare victory and cut losses in time. The crypto market and US stocks will then experience an epic rebound. But this might take a few weeks.
4. Currently, the market is very worried about Monday's opening. Oil and US stock futures will open at 6 a.m. tomorrow, and the situation doesn't look optimistic. But the crypto market is okay because it trades 24/7. It has already fallen quite a bit in the past couple of days, so the impact will be smaller.
5. In the short term, $BTC mentioned yesterday that around $67,000 has good support. There was a dip below that today at noon, but it pulled back—possibly a false breakout. But since the stability isn't great, it's okay to hold some. The safest approach is to wait for a rebound, for example, around the resistance levels of $69,000 and $70,000, where I will re-enter 30% of the short positions I previously took profits on, depending on whether the market gives the opportunity.
6. Overall, the trend is still downward, and the bearish factors haven't been eliminated. But I wouldn't be surprised if there is a rebound after a big drop. In such cases, we can add to our short positions at the high points of the rebound. Our long-term short positions from $74,000 have already been quite profitable. Keep working hard—regardless of whether prices go up or down, there are always trading opportunities! #原油价格飙升
BTC0,67%
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