2026-03-06 23:19:16

📊 ETH Current Price 1987 (March 7, 07:20) Updated Analysis

Core Conclusion: 1954 is yesterday’s low + strong support, currently oscillating in the 1954–2000 range; short-term bearish but with support, mainly aiming for high shorts, light long positions, strict stop-loss.

1. Key Data Corrections

- Yesterday (March 6): Low 1954, high 2060, close around 2000
- Today (March 7): Current price 1987, 24h -4.5%, intraday low 1970, high 2060
- Correlation: BTC steady at 70500, ETH weaker than Bitcoin, capital outflow

2. Key Levels (Adjusted to 1954)

Support (won’t fall further)

- First support: 1980 (near current price, strong intraday support)
- Strong support: 1954 (yesterday’s low + dense trading, today’s dividing line between bulls and bears)
- Break below: 1930 → 1900 (psychological level)

Resistance (won’t rise further)

- First resistance: 2000 (psychological + technical dense pressure)
- Strong resistance: 2040–2050 (intraday rebound limit)
- Higher: 2080–2100 (trapping zone)

3. Technical Analysis (Based on 1954)

- 4-hour: Bearish moving averages, MACD death cross, Bollinger bands downward; 1954 is a strong 4-hour support, oscillation if not broken
- 1-hour: Decreasing volume oscillation, RSI 35 approaching oversold; stabilization at 1954 may lead to weak rebound, but limited height
- Daily: Broken 25-day moving average, trend bearish; holding 1954 may indicate potential daily support

4. News Factors (Unchanged)

- White House summit positive news exhausted, funds are cautious
- March 10 options expiration: pain point at 1900–2000, short-term suppression evident
- ETH ETF capital outflow, selling pressure persists

5. Today’s Contract Trading (Current price 1987, adjusted to 1954)

1) Short (priority, higher win rate)

- Entry: 2000–2020, light short positions under pressure
- Stop-loss: 2040
- Targets: 1980 → 1954 → 1930

2) Long (cautious, small positions for trial)

- Entry: 1970–1980, stabilize with small long positions; do not long if below 1970
- Stop-loss: 1950 (close below yesterday’s low 1954)
- Targets: 2000 → 2020

3) Risk Management (must follow)

- Leverage ≤ 3x
- Single position ≤ 5%
- No holding overnight, no chasing, no heavy positions

6. Key Scenarios for Today

- ✅ Hold 1954: oscillate and recover, watch for rebound to 2000–2020
- ❌ Break below 1954: trend turns bearish, directly target 1930 → 1900
- 📅 March 10 options expiration: increased volatility, reduce positions early to hedge

ETH1,68%

BTC0,79%

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TheMilkyWayEntersTheClouds

· 03-14 06:32

ETH Forecast

- Support: 2050–2070 holds, then bullish bias
- Resistance: 2100–2104 breaks, then can surge to 2150+
- Trend: Oscillating upward, dips are opportunities

Medium-term (1–3 months)

- As long as no major breakdown below 1800
- High probability of oscillating uptrend
- Targets: 2500 → 3000 first

Long-term (6+ months)

- Direction: Upward
- Logic: ETFs, institutional inflows, deflation
- High levels have potential to reach 4000–5000+

Just remember this one line:
Above 2050 maintain long bias, 2100 breakout watch for acceleration, break below 2000 then be cautious.

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TheMilkyWayEntersTheClouds

· 03-13 15:30

You can hang it, but use a conservative range + conditional orders, don't chase directly at market price.

🎯 Today's conservative long orders (hang directly)

- Order range: 2120–2125 (limit order, wait for pullback to fill)
- Stop loss: 2105 (exit on breakdown, risk controlled)
- First take profit: 2155–2160
- Second take profit: 2180–2185
- Position size: ≤0.5 (light position trial long)

✅ Can you hang it now?

- Yes, but only hang the 2120–2125 limit order, don't chase the current price of 2141
- Order logic: pullback to strong support zone, buy volume concentrated, don't chase highs, don't hold losing positions

💡 One-sentence operation

Hang 2120–2125 limit long orders now, stop loss 2105, light position wait for fill

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