📊 1-2 Day Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Trading Strategy Checklist

I. Core Premise

- Current Price: 67,417.5 USDT
- Time Frame: 1-2 days (ultra-short term)
- Risk Preference: Moderate (recommend no more than 20% of total funds)

 

II. Bull and Bear Directions and Range Judgment

- Core Range: 66,500 – 68,800 USDT
- Support Levels:
- First Support: 66,507 USDT (24-hour low, strong support)
- Second Support: 65,000 USDT (psychological level, trend turns bearish if broken)
- Resistance Levels:
- First Resistance: 68,855 USDT (24-hour high, strong resistance)
- Second Resistance: 70,000 USDT (round number, very difficult to break)

 

III. Specific Trading Strategies

1. Long Strategy (Buy on dips)

- Entry Conditions:
1. Price retraces to the 66,500 – 66,800 USDT range.
2. Volume decreases, RSI@E6@E1@ drops below 50, MACD green bars shorten.
3. US stock futures stabilize, US dollar index weakens.
- Entry Point: Around 66,600 USDT
- Stop Loss: 66,000 USDT (break below 24-hour low, trend reversal)
- Take Profit:
- First Take Profit: 68,000 USDT (break above key resistance before 24-hour high)
- Second Take Profit: 68,800 USDT (24-hour high, strong resistance)

2. Short Strategy (Sell on rallies)

- Entry Conditions:
1. Price rebounds to the 68,500 – 68,800 USDT range.
2. KDJ J value remains above 80, MACD red bars diminish, SAR bearish signals persist.
3. US tech stocks weaken, US dollar index rebounds.
- Entry Point: Around 68,600 USDT
- Stop Loss: 69,200 USDT (break above 24-hour high, trend turns bullish)
- Take Profit:
- First Take Profit: 67,000 USDT (below current price, short-term support)
- Second Take Profit: 66,500 USDT (24-hour low, strong support)

3. Range Oscillation Strategy (Buy low, sell high)

- Suitable Scenario: Price fluctuates within 66,500 – 68,800 USDT without a clear trend.
- Operation Logic:
- Lightly go long near the lower boundary (66,500 USDT), lightly go short near the upper boundary (68,800 USDT).
- Strictly set stop losses to avoid breaking the range with a one-sided trend.
- Position Size: No more than 10% of total funds per trade to avoid heavy exposure.

 

IV. Risk Control and Precautions

1. Position Management:
- Total position no more than 20%, single trade no more than 10%.
- Avoid full position risking, keep sufficient funds for unexpected situations.
2. Prioritize Stop Loss:
- All trades must have clear stop loss points, strictly enforced, no holding through losses.
- If price breaks the range, close positions immediately to avoid trend losses.
3. News Monitoring:
- Focus on Federal Reserve officials' speeches, US stock trends, Bitcoin ETF fund flows.
- If major negative news occurs (e.g., regulatory upgrades, large ETF net outflows), prioritize staying on the sidelines.
4. Leverage Usage:
- Recommended leverage not to exceed 3x to avoid liquidation risks.
- In ultra-short-term trading, leverage amplifies volatility, exercise caution.

 

V. 1-2 Day Trend Probability Forecast

- Range oscillation (66,500 – 68,800 USDT): approximately 60%
- Downward break (below 66,500 USDT): approximately 30%
- Upward break (above 68,800 USDT): approximately 10%

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