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True experts have a broad perspective and understand the big picture, but they don't use it every day.
Many people misunderstand experts:
They think experts analyze macro trends every day.
In fact, experts spend most of their time waiting for opportunities.
The significance of macro research is:
To identify cycles, not to predict fluctuations.
In a bull market, macro negatives are often overlooked;
In a bear market, macro positives can't save the trend.
What does this indicate?
Trend priority > macro expectations.
The current phase is a "macro-sensitive period," but not yet a "macro-dominant period." The market is still swinging between narrative-driven moves, capital battles, and emotional cycles.
The smart approach is:
👉 Use macro to filter the main direction
👉 Use structure to find certainty
👉 Use discipline to control drawdowns
Ultimately, trading is not about the amount of information, but about execution.
Interaction:
If you could only choose one, would you pick macro or technical analysis?
#美联储人事与宏观政策影响