The article explores Pi Network's derivatives market signals to understand its potential price movements. It highlights the dramatic surge in Pi futures trading volume in 2025 followed by a significant price decline and a shift in market sentiment. Additionally, it discusses the neutral positioning in the market indicated by the 1.01 long/short ratio, and the downward pressure caused by the weekly unlocking of 72 million PI tokens. The article aims to inform investors and traders about the factors influencing Pi Network's price volatility, making sense of its historical fluctuations, and guiding strategic market positioning.
Pi futures trading volume surges 80% amid market sentiment shift
In 2025, Pi Network futures trading experienced an unprecedented surge, with volumes increasing by 80% as market sentiment shifted dramatically. This remarkable growth coincided with Pi reaching a new all-time high of $2.99 in February, while trading volume exceeded $3.2 billion during the peak period. The significant price movement attracted both retail and institutional traders to the Pi futures market.
The dramatic change in trading activity can be observed in the following comparison:
| Period |
Trading Volume |
Price Range |
Market Sentiment |
| Feb 2025 |
$3.2+ billion |
$2.99 (ATH) |
Extremely Bullish |
| Oct 2025 |
Under $40 million |
$0.15-$0.25 |
Fearful (42 VIX) |
However, this momentum proved unsustainable. By October 2025, Pi's trading volume plummeted to record lows under $40 million, representing a 98.75% decrease from February peaks. This collapse coincided with Pi's price declining by approximately 85.93% year-over-year according to market data.
The futures market activity reflects broader investor sentiment toward Pi Network, which has shifted from extreme optimism to fear, as evidenced by the current fear reading of 42 on the market emotion index. Despite this significant downturn, recent daily price charts show slight recovery attempts, with Pi currently trading around $0.24, attempting to stabilize after hitting lows near $0.15 during the October 10th market crash.
Long/short ratio at 1.01 indicates neutral positioning
According to the latest data for PI Network, the long/short ratio currently stands at 1.01, representing an almost perfect balance between bullish and bearish positions in the market. This ratio indicates a neutral positioning among traders, with no significant bias toward either direction.
The current market sentiment can be contextualized by examining PI's recent price performance:
| Time Period |
Price Change |
Change Amount |
| 24H |
-3.74% |
-$0.00931 |
| 7D |
-3.20% |
-$0.00792 |
| 30D |
-7.64% |
-$0.01982 |
Despite these short-term negative movements, the balanced long/short ratio suggests traders remain cautiously optimistic about potential recovery. This neutral positioning appears reasonable when considering PI's historical volatility - having fluctuated from its all-time high of $3 on February 26, 2025, to its all-time low of $0.049 on February 20, 2025.
The market's indecision reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding PI's future. While the asset has experienced significant drawdowns from its peak (down 85.93% year-over-year), the equal distribution between long and short positions indicates traders are awaiting clearer directional signals before committing to either side. This balanced ratio typically precedes major price movements, as equal market forces often resolve into decisive trends once new catalysts emerge.
Weekly token unlock of 72 million PI creates structural selling pressure
The weekly release of 72 million PI tokens starting July 4, 2025, has created significant downward price pressure that ripples through the market. This structural selling phenomenon is evidenced by PI's price trajectory, which dropped from $0.44 on July 27 to a concerning $0.19 by mid-October—representing a 56.8% decline during a critical unlock period.
Market data reveals the correlation between unlock events and price volatility:
| Date |
Token Unlock |
Price Impact |
Trading Volume |
| July 4, 2025 |
Initial 72M weekly |
Decline to $0.40 |
37.4M |
| Sept 2025 |
149.5M unlock |
Drop to $0.28 |
111.3M |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
Continued unlocks |
Crash to $0.19 |
91.7M |
The substantial increase in trading volume during unlock events demonstrates a clear market reaction as early investors liquidate positions. With PI's circulating supply expected to increase dramatically through these scheduled unlocks, the dilution effect continues to suppress price recovery attempts.
This pattern mirrors classic token unlock dynamics where supply-demand imbalances create persistent selling pressure. Most concerning for PI holders is the concentration of tokens—96.37% in the top 100 wallets—suggesting further volatility as these large holders potentially liquidate their positions during subsequent unlock events. The weekly cadence of these unlocks creates a prolonged bearish environment that requires significant new demand to counterbalance.
FAQ
Are pi coins worth anything?
Yes, Pi coins have value. As of 2025, they're traded on major exchanges and have gained significant market cap, making them a notable player in the crypto space.
How many pi is $100?
Based on current market rates, $100 would be approximately 3,326 Pi coins. This estimate assumes a Pi value of $0.03 per coin in 2025.
How much is 1 pi worth now?
As of November 2025, 1 Pi is worth approximately $0.25. The price has stabilized around this level due to increased adoption and utility in the Web3 ecosystem.
How do I sell my pi Coin?
To sell Pi Coin, complete KYC, migrate to the open mainnet, and use a compatible wallet. Trade on supported exchanges with low fees. Ensure you follow all platform guidelines.
* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
