Wednesday, prepare for the Federal Reserve, long-term short positions ready to enter

As the Middle East situation has once again seriously disrupted the Federal Reserve's inflation-fighting process, the release of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision at 2 AM has become even more important. The market has lowered the probability of rate cuts to nearly zero, with futures pricing showing the Federal Reserve will not consider rate cuts until September at the earliest, or even October, with only one cut expected for the entire year.

Tonight is the timing for us to begin arranging long-term short positions to enter the market. Bitcoin is currently consolidating around the 74000 level, with the upward momentum of long positions slowing somewhat. A notable point is that since failing to hold above the previous high of 76000, it has not recovered lost ground. Therefore, we will continue shorting in subsequent market movements.

In yesterday's article, I already explained very clearly why we're turning to short at this time. Chasing highs now is equivalent to licking the blade's edge. Market sentiment is weak, and the war factor is like a mine that could explode at any time. Once large capital outflows occur, it can easily cause a panic selloff. In a word, boldly "short."

Long-term positioning:

Bitcoin: 76000-75000 short in batches with light positions, reserve position above 78000 to add, target around 65000

Ethereum: 2400-2355 short in batches with light positions, reserve position above 2520 to add, target 1950

Seven years in the circle, witness to two rounds of bull-bear cycles, pioneer in trend analysis, guide in real trading—those in the know understand!