📌 WTI crude oil has fallen from the $104 high point to $87—how much impact will the Strait of Hormuz blockade have? 📈 The oil market’s plot has taken a dramatic turn. When the US-Iran conflict escalated on April 13, WTI crude surged 8.2% intraday to $104.49, and Brent moved above $102.95. But today, WTI is already down to around $87.08, basically giving back all of the geopolitical risk premium.

🔍 Deep-Sea TechFlow reports that the US-Iran temporary ceasefire is about to expire, and both sides’ views on the negotiation prospects differ. As the Strait of Hormuz is a global oil transportation route accounting for about 20% of oil shipments, if a blockade is reignited, the forecast that oil prices could target $125 once again comes to the fore.
💡 Analysis at the current price level: $87 is already a relatively low level for the year. The short-term logic for both bulls and bears switches rapidly—one negotiation-related development can set everything in motion. It is recommended to set positions strictly with stop-losses, trade according to the news flow, and do not blindly chase rallies or cut losses.
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