Kalshi Traders Forecast XRP to Hit $1.60 in April

XRP-0.21%
SOL-0.87%
ZRO-6.46%

Kalshi prediction market traders are forecasting XRP will reach $1.60 in April, according to the prediction market platform’s latest data. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse confirmed growing demand for XRP, stating: “Demand for XRP keeps growing. More access, more ecosystems, more utility.” His comments followed RippleX’s announcement that wrapped XRP (wXRP) is now live on Solana, enabled by Hex Trust and LayerZero.

Institutional ETF Inflows Accelerating

Five spot XRP ETFs recorded net inflows of $55.4 million over the past five trading days, with positive flows recorded every single day during that period. The largest single-day inflow occurred on April 15, totaling $17 million. These five products now collectively hold $1.11 billion in assets, representing 1.22% of XRP’s entire market cap.

According to CoinShares, the week ending April 11 saw $119.6 million in weekly inflows – the strongest figure since December. Despite six consecutive months of price decline, institutional demand continues to accelerate.

Technical Setup and Short Liquidation Clusters

For the first time since January 17, the SuperTrend indicator has flipped bullish on XRP’s daily chart. Technical analyst Ali Charts identified $1.55 as the key level to watch, noting that a clean break and daily close above this level would likely trigger a relief rally toward the $1.90 zone.

According to Tesseract Group’s Head of Commercial Adam Saville-Brown, approximately $3 billion in short liquidation clusters sit directly above the $1.51-$1.57 resistance zone. With XRP trading at $1.47, this ceiling is less than 3% away. Current market conditions show deeply negative funding rates – indicating shorts are doubling down – while Coinbase premium is positive, suggesting U.S. buyers are entering positions.

Regulatory Catalyst: CLARITY Act Vote

The CLARITY Act Senate Banking Committee markup is targeted for late April. Standard Chartered has modeled XRP trading above $1.60 if the committee delivers a favorable vote. JPMorgan stated that negotiations are down to two or three unresolved issues.

If the vote does not occur, analysts see XRP returning toward support at $1.28, with potential further decline to $1.15 if that level breaks.

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Comment
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DaoAfterpartyvip
· 20h ago
Kalshi's predictions should be viewed as sentiment indicators; actual price increases still depend on liquidity and the overall market mood.
View OriginalReply0
OrigamiMountainsAndRiversvip
· 04-19 05:38
I believe in hitting 1.6 in April halfway, and the other half is reserved for stop-loss. Don't go all-in.
View OriginalReply0
GaslightGuardianvip
· 04-19 01:28
It feels like the market is now betting on "regulation clarification," and if it falls short of expectations, the pullback will be swift.
View OriginalReply0
BridgeBurnedvip
· 04-18 18:12
Regulatory voting is both a big risk and a big opportunity; if the outcome leans dovish, it takes off, if it leans hawkish, it has to take a hit first.
View OriginalReply0
Semi-MatureGovernanceVotevip
· 04-18 17:50
If ETF funds keep flowing in net, XRP is indeed likely to be pushed to a new high; the key is to avoid a wave of “cash-out on good news.”
View OriginalReply0
PuppyLooksAtTvlvip
· 04-18 11:54
No matter how strong the technical aspect is, it’s still afraid of news-driven sell-offs, especially when key support levels break, leading to a chain of panic selling.
View OriginalReply0
NeonMarginvip
· 04-18 11:36
$1.6 sounds pretty good, but don't forget that a wave can also kick back.
View OriginalReply0
LittleBearWatchingTheMarketvip
· 04-18 11:34
What I care more about is whether the momentum can cooperate; without volume, pushing to 1.6 has a high probability of a sharp rise followed by a pullback.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-c29c3db9vip
· 04-18 11:30
XRP has always been driven by news, with ETF and voting as dual catalysts; there is indeed potential for short-term gains.
View OriginalReply0
LimeMulti-Signaturevip
· 04-18 11:28
Don't just focus on the target price; ask yourself: can you withstand a drop back to 1.2?
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