tonight's key event

Time: Beijing time April 30th, 2:30 AM

Event: Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision & Powell press conference

Background: This is Powell's last FOMC press conference during his term, with significant implications for the tone.

Main highlights

• Interest rate remains unchanged at 3.5%-3.75% (market consensus)

• Powell's attitude towards future rate cuts, inflation, and liquidity—whether hawkish (bearish) or dovish (bullish).

Current state of the crypto market

• BTC range: 76,000-78,000 oscillation

• Market sentiment: high-level oscillation, high leverage, sensitive sentiment, reliant on rate cut expectations for support.

Core strategy

1. Prevent flash crashes first: reduce leverage/positions before the speech. If Powell's stance is hawkish, beware of sudden declines.

2. Catch the turning point: if the market drops sharply due to hawkish signals, focus on the support zone of 72,000-74,000, and observe whether a rebound with exhausted bearish momentum can form.